On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 1 year ago

NRL Round 16 Preview - Rugby League


NRL chat makes a return to your ears on the On The Ball podcast as I return to analyse the Womens and Mens State of Origin games and series. I also look ahead to a jampacked Round 16 of the NRL. 


Welcome back to the other board podcast. This is another episode of the best podcast in town. Apologies for the lack of content recently. I had a short break after university exams. Went on a week getaway to Tassi. I did a your euros episode but not, obviously, a rugby league one, and I think Rowe Front of the show, didn't afl one. So you kept that pumping out. So we haven't missed a week and AFL, but sadly we didn't miss a week of NRL. So we're back into it this week, back into my rhythm. So there will be afl own or weekly and then I few soccer ones here and there in some other sports. But we missed a lot really. We missed state of origin to and I didn't Miss It, but I've missed it on the podcast so far. So that's why I'm going to touch on first and then we're going to look ahead to around sixteen. Will just be a preview today. Obviously there's not really any NREL action to review. I'm not going to chat about two weeks ago. So it it feels be weird this midseason break. Almost it's kind of like I don't actually remember too much. Why as a Tiger's Fan, I think I sort of blocked out the last round, obviously that historic loss to the storm. But yeah, well, once we watch this round a footy, I'm sure we'll get back into it and the momentum will start to pick up a and so we on the Friday night we had the women's state of origin. I have to say I feel really sorry for the girls. The weather just did not turn up for them. I thought was I was really excited for it. Thought it was going to be really good event. Sunshineko stadium, I thought was a good venue for them, a good size, there wasn't going to be many code restrictions and, like it's a knowledgeable you know it's heart regularly highland, southeast Queensland. So yeah, I thought I was going to be really exciting. But then the weather really just affected the game really hard to it's low scoring in general women's Rugby League anyway, and they play less minutes. But yeah, the weather just prevented all sort of flowing footy and it was pretty error prone game. News have I has made a lot of mistakes and Queensland the underdogs one. Shockingly yet again in the women's origin U swear they're underdogs every year, meant much like the men's, and they seem to get up and when in the Broncos do the same thing and then our old W so they're on fire. Disappointing from the New South Wales Girls. I know the coach said in the press conference that, yeah, they just let themselves down with those errors. Controversial penalty to win the game. Look idea. I probably it probably is a penalty, to be honest, any other time the game. So I do get why they get gave it. She could have been milking but yeah, it did look like there was a bit of a leg grab and rather than focusing on the dive, you probably just got to think, why has the New South Wales interchange forward, put a foot, put a hand in there, like there's like a minute left or two minutes left, or whatever it was timinus. I actually can't remember how much to go there was, but ended up being the final act in terms of scoring. And Yeah, that was pretty deflating, but thankfully it didn't affect the men's momentum. Rolled into Sunday night I was very nervous because New South Wales has led me to a lot of false hope in my twenty years on this planet, but this was one time where it wasn't false, it was true hope. It's one of the Best Series Wins New South Wales hadn't the last twenty years very comprehensive. Obviously Queens I have a lot of issues with injury and their depth was exposed. Lack of depth was exposed. But New South Wales, you got to hand it to them. They just looked a class above, as they probably should with the side they've got. But this has been the tale of origin since the beginning. New South Wales have always had the more star started team, except for that eight years stretched for Queensland. But Queensland's always had a lack of depth just through lack of players. But they've always, you know, fought hard against this.

Some some who some would call arrogant New South Wales Blues side, and that's caught some kind of the narrative that has made this rivalry so great. But for once New South Wales actually stood up and showed they were too classy for the Queens one outfit on this occasion. Yeah, just everyone play really well a trail. I thought he should have been man in the match. Over James Tedesco. To be not honest. I know teddy was huge throughout the whole eighty but I thought the trail set up the to try first two trials with the Strip and then the intercept, and I think when when Queens I went two tries down, I think it was little bit over. For me. It was until the third try where I was really like, all right, we it would be a miracle food lose from here. But Yeah, when we scored the first two, yeah, the odds of Queensland we're really looking lower and they would have had to have come out hard and score early and I think think take us to buy surprise to win that game too. Obviously off to get in pummeling game one, but yeah, so I thought those two acts from the trail were enough to get him in in the match and I also think it was pretty stiffer in the first one. I think he was arguably better than turbo. But yeah, right now he's looking like winning the player of the series, so I think he would take that over an individual man in the match. But he's been huge in the centers and I'm quite scared the forms in rolling into Tigers Rabbit Os on the weekend and he's playing a different position, but still he's in fighting form. Yeah, it's just a really good game. The first twenty minutes are really competitive and then, as I mentioned New South Wales. I guess you could say lucky breaks, but not so much. It was just sort of against the momentum, the Strip and then the intercept. So the game went from being fifty in at times Queensland did dominate, but New South Wales just had better execution with their chances and then, yeah, it it was over by halftime. Really I just think new stuffs were too good in the attacking third. You'd have to say that's why Queen's own really struggled. I think missing Harry Grand Klem Pong was massive. I know it's only two players, but I do think they would have not leveled the series but like given queens own a serious chance. I think monster was left to do a lot in his own he's copped a lot of criticism but a I think he's not match fit at the moment, not in terms of like aerobic capacity or whatever, but like actually in terms of form. Like he hasn't played much footie in the last two or three months, so I'm not really surprised if he didn't tear it up. Cherry Evans didn't look great, but we've seen with manly when he's not got a like he's better off, as every half is, and hookers and fullbacks. He's better off the back of a charging forward pack with stars, stars around in like Turbo at club land, and when they're out here often does struggle to create an also game manage. So he kind of struggle with that with no ponger grant and monster out of form. But yeah, I think there's no issues there. I think people are stressing about Queensland, saying Oh, this is going to be like ten years of dominance from your south Wales, but realistically in state of origin really disappeared. Of Dominance. Happened that eight year? The Queen's own streak contained probably three or four immortal so I don't think we want to see that ever again and I think people who are stressing out about the state of Queensland football just need to take a step back and got the actually one last series. They've got the two best under twenties players in the competition right now and reest Walsh and Sam Walker. So yeah, I don't think and Harry grants only twenty three months to still got a lot to go. Pong is still very young, so I don't think there's any stresses there. Some of the fringe players in the Queensland Squad maybe show that they just weren't up to the standard. I had to pick on him, but yeah, Kyle fell, I have to say it's probably one of the worst to game performances I've ever witnessed. Like it's probably worst on in both and that's pretty hard to do as a winger because you normally don't have much impact. But a lot of people were calling for selection. I was glad that Ronaldo got selected. Of Sort of predicted that at the...

...start of last season. I thought he'd be an origin went winger in the next two or three years. Obviously didn't get his chance to play because of the eligibility scandal, but hopefully players in game three for his sake. I think he'll make a bit of a difference with his passion and enthusiasm, but I don't know. He'll be interesting to see what happens. No one knows where it's going to be played. Talks of Melbourne, talks of Newcastle, talks of small country towns with Sydney's lockdown status at the moment. I would like it in Melbourne so I can go watch it, but that's just a selfish point. I don't know where it should be. Be Pretty crazy if they don't play single game in New South Wales and it's a clean sweet. But I do expect Queensland to bounce back, I think once months to gets a bit more form under the bell. Pong will probably be fit as he's playing for Newcastle this weekend. Harry Graham might be fit by then as well, and then all of a sudden I think they pose a lot bigger threat to US new South Welshman. So yeah, great series win from Freddy and the boys. Hopefully can get the clean sweet, but I have to say I'm not that bothered to get back game three the moment. I'm sort of just excited to get back into the NRL week after week until finals. And Yeah, that's my state of origin review. Moving into my nro preview, just got to go game by game, chat about the INS and outs and give my tip. Nothing to hectic, but as I mentioned, there hasn't been no NRRAL footy for about two weeks now. So some of this stuff is a little bit rusty. But we start. I'm not going to talk about the Thursday night game because this will problem recording this three hours before that game. So this will probably going out Friday morning, if not Thursday night after the match. So I won't bother touching on that one. Hopefully it's a good game. Hopefully the rest just challenge the storm, but we'll see what happens and what. Not sure if the origin players will play, but we'll see. So Friday six o'clock game. We're starting with the warriors dragons. Warriors have some big team changes. Riese, while she's obviously out, that hamstring injury he suffered in the Queensland captain's run has limited his ability to front half of the warriors here. Not sure how long he's going to be out for and I would like to know because he's in my fantasy team. But for now I think I'm just going to hold him. But yeah, for the warries that's not ideal. But yeah, I think they've got to take a conservative approach with him. He still only very, very young and soft tissue injuries we've seen in the past players can you know not get, I was going to say get addicted to them, but like they can get one hamstring and then that can lead to three or four, three out of forty, four or five years span. So yeah, I think I should be very conservative with that one. And then, on top of that, Josh Caren and you and eight can are out. They were in a covid hot spot, so there to isolate for fourteen days, which hurts. However, in for the ends for the warriors, dumb with tend he was the less Ni Ark, will make his debut for the club on the wing. He's obviously been signed from the Doggies, and Chad Townsend is coming in for half a season before going to north Queensland. Is Making his debut in the half as well. Well, I guess. Is it your debut if you play for the club before? I'm not sure, but yeah, it's going to be exciting to see how they go. Chat towns and doesn't play much for you. In the last eight weeks the Sharky's halves gone well, so that's going to be interesting to see how that affects the side. They're obviously in interesting form. They kind of seemed to rock up when people don't expect them to the rock up and then vice versa. But wait, EAGAN and Bunty of fol also returned, so they're slowly getting back to full strength. I think people have sort of overlook the injury issues the warries have had this year. Obviously, right now it comes to my mind, I think Peter Hicks out for the year. She now, Harris to Beta's out for the year now current and a can or out, Welsh's out with a hamstring, and they're sort of been dealing with three or four injuries to start as each week, and I think maybe because the warriors don't get the same spotlight, there's some some of the Big Sydney and Brisbane teams. But yeah, I...

...think that needs to be appreciated and the a little bit of slack has to be cut for them. But they're still route well and truly in that hunt for the top eight and this was a big game for them, for both these teams. Actually the dragons. On the flip side, they are inside the top Bay right now and these are the Games they need to win to stay in there. To be honest, they probably don't deserve to play finals at this rate, but if they just keep picking up wins against teams like the warriors. They're probably just going to find themselves in there by virtue of everyone else being so inconsistent. Around that Mark Josh Muse McGuire comes back from suspension to rail for we may own, who comes back for his first game since about the ground, and Matt dufty returns from injury. So that's it's a big in for the dragons. Their benches been boosted massively with that and Dufty, obviously the back. Although tyrel slome was very, very exciting on debut, dufty certainly brings a lot more to that side. So to tip this one, for me to flip of a coin, I think the odds are tilted towards the warriors. It's in golf food, so I do tend to lean to the warriors. So I'm probably just going to say the war is by too. I think it will be a close game. Dragons are pretty inconsistent. One Week they'll rock up their beat the raiders in camera I think it was, and then they lose to the Tigers and bulldog. So they're very unpretty stable team. Then the warriors are a little bit more predictable. You sort of know you're just going to get US seven out of ten performance. So I'm going to trust the warriors, even with reese well shot out. Hopefully Townsend lights it up on debut, Roger Back at fullback, and I'm going to go the warriors by two points. Panthers versus eels is the primetime game, which treated to some blockbusters this weekend, which is a good way to get the momentum of the competition back up and running. Any think clear he is obviously out for up to a month with his shoulder injury. Origin is stopping kind to clear this this year. Obviously at suffered the cheekbone in game one and now he's soffered suffered what summer saying could be a season ending injury, but he's looks like he's going to play through it after a month off dealan Edwards is also out. He is battling issues with injury throughout this whole year and hasn't been able to get three or four games together, which is frustrating for him. So stains goes to number one, Burton goes to the six. They still look a very good side. Eels are pretty much unchanged. I think Sevo comes back from suspension maybe, but yeah, they're pretty much full strength. It's a blue bet stadium. Look, I think that he was a real chance here and I believe the eels might have help well before the Tigers. But I think the EELS with the last team to beat pain Rith in a regular season game, if I'm not mistaken, in about round ten last year. But that was a banqueest bit of a different story. I think the panthers are a better side now and I'm going to say the panthers by ten. Yeah, I just can't tip against panthers or storm at the moment, especially when they're at home. So yeah, I'm going to say panthers. BULLDOG SEAGULLS is the early Saturday game finding and comes back into the side. This mass changes for the bulldogs. Not going to go through them all. Obviously five or six players breach covid rules and went to a pub in the eastern suburbs of Sydney. So that's pretty disappointing from an NRL's point of view. But manly a laughing really. The bulldogs and the strongest of sides, even though they're in decent form, but to lose four or five players in their starting team. Yeah, it's going to be very, very tough. So finding him comes back at in at six, so he's going to partner out riller and the halves Jackson. I don't know, I need to work out how to say I don't know if it's topen A or topine. I'm going to say topine. He is starting it in the second row, which is actually is natural position. He's played a few games at Hooker, few off the bench, but he's actually a back row. That's where he played growing up for the doggies. So that's going to be exciting because he's a highly touted young star. Seagulls are pretty much unchanged there without Jake treboivitch, who's still injured after I don't know, I think it was injured after game one of origin. I'm not sure.

Maybe it was the man the game after that, but yeah, he's still lay out. But apart from that they're pretty much full strength. So you've got to go this seagles here one of the form team in the comprehens one of the bottom teams in the camp. Don't like. Hopefully the bulldogs put up a fire, but I can't see it being pretty. So I'm going to get the Sea Eagles by at thirty points. Here raiders versus Titans. Jared croker comes back the skipper for the raiders. He's back in the center's Matthew Tumaco drops to the reserves. That's really the mainly the main INS for the raiders. For the titans, they have a lot of INS actually, similar to the warriors. I think people have overlook some of their injury issues this year. Aj Brimson comes back at fullback, which sees Campbell pushed to the reserves. Corey Thompson comes back on a wing. Kevin proctor comes back both firmer comes back in Sam Lasne, who adds a lot of bench production really for them as the B that's a big front row. He comes on their bench pretty stack this week. I think fought awake is starting from there. So this is a tough one. It's in Canbra. The Times have lost their last four, I believe. So I'm actually going to go over the times for a comeback win. Obviously had a fair few games players involved in that. Queensland. Both Queensland Drumming so fast, so I think they're going to be fired up. The raiders of started to look a little bit better the last couple weeks and it is in Canbra but I'm going to say the titans come out and stop this losing streak. are still thinking they're a very good chance of making finals and these the sort of games they need to win. And I just don't trust the raiders at the moment. They're inconsistent. Well not there's sort of been consistently just average. So yeah, I'm going to say the titans but yeah, I'm not confident on that one. Nights versus cowboys is the sad day primetime game. Can Pong will finally plays first game since I think it's round nine. It's been named a couple times, been late a laid out a couple times. So it's going to be the first time nights fans get to see ponger, Pierce and Clifford all together, which is well, we're not sure on the future of peers but it looks to be the short term future of the nights in terms of the spine. So that's going to be exciting and even more exciting is it's against Clifford's old team than you north Queensland Cowboys, so that's going to be entertaining big battle up against his opposition half, Tom did, and he basically the reason Clifford was shipped off, I guess. So that's going to be a little bit of a juicy battle between those two in the nights or this is tough because the cowboys, they're one of those teams that similar to the warriors, where you always tip against them and they always get the upset. But it's the nights pongs back and it's at McDonald Jones. So I think I'm going to have to go the nights for a big, sad day primetime game. Tod patins isolating as well. That might have some sort of impact, but who knows? So I'm going to go ponger to lead the boys to a DUB. I'm going to say the nights by six, but that could be an entertaining game because the cowboys actually playing a lot of white high scoring games. So they two o'clock kick off. Broncos versus sharks. A lot of changes for the Broncos, similar to the bulldogs, but these ones were will not like all. They weren't alarm force, but they weren't through like suspension or anything. Stags comes back at center oats and a cycle on the wing. So a bit of a throwback to like two thousand and eighteen, I think it was, when they were the wings. Gambling Croft pair each other in the halves. I think. I don't know if they've paid each other yet, but that could be one of another harves pairing and TC. Robardy gets the start at the number twelve. Is Pangai junior is suspended. Robotis looked really exciting and his first few appearances off the bench for the bronchos. So I think that could be an interesting aspect to watch. Going to be interesting to see how stags goes. Obviously some talk about him coming back at number six, whether it's going to play a number six next year. As I'm recording this, Kirkcapewell just got announced a couple of hours ago as a big signing for the next week. So I don't know. I feel like it's not positive and at Red Hill for the Broncos, but I feel like...

...there's a little bit less negativity around them. Some of their big guns are back from injury. Will just stags with? I don't know, I'm trying to harp them up, but yeah, it's tough too. And then the sharks are pretty much unchanged and they're in really good form. So as much other as well, I don't know if I'd like to see it, but as much as I think would be heartwarming to see the broncos finally get it dub and Kevin Walters can finally smile. But I'm going to say the SHARKY's. I think they're in really, really good form and they look like a bit of a smokey to make that top eight after a pull first ten rounds. So I'm going to say the sharks. Yeah, I just think there are more settled team. You know, let's let's moving parts. So going to say the sharks by twelve in that one, which would be a punter's nightmare given the one to twelve thirteen plus margins. But anyway. And then Sunday afternoon my team play the old enemy, the South Sydney rabbitos. Speaking of the Rabbitos, I met a I have to say is a lovely man on a Tasmanian road trip. He was just working in a cafe on that off the side of the highway people, you know, stop and have a stretch and he was a legend. He was a rabbit as fan. I was wearing my tigers hat and he stopped me for a chat and yeah, great bloke. But anyway, only a couple changes to the Tigers, which, I have to say in my family was pretty disappointed out I was, I'll say to my dad if there's one thing I'd have to say about McGuire, as he is very stubborn about his team changes. So I was saying, I don't think you should get sacked or anything like a lot of people are saying, but I was saying, I was mentioning that if he doesn't make changes after that storm loss like that will be a big negative in the column for Madge for me because, yeah, that's just something that I don't right in the coach. I know he's trying to like pick and stick fulfill some confidence. They want back to back games and there a couple rounds ago, but after two really, really poor performances, some changes do have to be made and I think he's gone pretty weak on that. I think he's stuck by some of his signings for a little bit too long. I think Tamo and James Roberts in particular have been really, really average, but Tommy t loos out, which is good. His just got some of the worst ballhandling you obviously do. He's back, which is a huge in and say Fath pushes into the starting thirteen, which has been long deserved really. The last six weeks I think he's been one of our best forwards week and week out and he seems like one of the fair very few tigers players who consistently has a crack and goes at a hundred percent intensity all the time he's on the field. For the south all their origin stars are named. They've got an extended reserves list, so we'll have to wait and see about that, as that kind of goes for the whole weekend. Benjie Marshall on leame night are back on the bench. That's some big names. How Mei Sell A. I think it's how you pronounce it. He's starting our prop over Tom Burgess, which is interesting. But Yeah, look, you got to tip the Rabbit Os. I reckon it might be close. The first time these play to play this year went to the golden point. But yeah, just the Tigers aren't great form. The rabbitos are in decent form. Got To say the rabbits, even though it is it like there's no fans or anything. So yeah, I don't think that I'll have much of an effect. So I'm going to say the Rabbitos by eighteen. That could be rose, I rose colored lenses from me looking at that one. But yeah, so it going through my game picks. Then I know I've just said my seven tips, not including Thursday night, but I will say my sure better the week and that is the or. It's actually tough. Well, based on margins, it's the seagulls to be the bulldog. So that's going to be my short better the week. I'm going to back in the hello sport boys from the bloke in above podcast and get around their manly seagulls upset of the week. Look, I'll be honest. I don't actually know who are underdogs in the clashes. So that that that's a bit silly for me not knowing that. But I would say the Times might be decent value against the raiders. I might just quickly check that. Yeah, just having checked that,...

...the times are big under dogs, actually two hundred and fifty. So that'll be my upset of the week. That's also the line I'll suggest. I think the lines about eight points. So at the time recordings actually six and a half. So I'd say put that in your multi's apart from that, the other lines aren't that interesting to me. It's pretty similar to all the margins of tips. I'd probably steer clear after this week. Be It's going to be interesting round, obviously sort of. The NFL has almost had a two week break, essentially except for the origin players, so it's going to be good to see a little sneak peek and how the teams are going for the last ten rounds of the competitions leading to finals. It's going to be a really, really interesting four or five weeks, especially in that battle for seventh and eight. I think the top six is all but decided Um and that seventh and eighth positions are up for grabs. Anyone can take him. Like I would say the bulldogs and Broncos are the only teams ruled out, and I know I'm optimistic tigers fans saying that, but like, it's definitely not out of the picture for the Tigers or anyone that low to win it. As I know, the Tigers have a pretty soft drawl themselves and I'm sure other teams are in a similar situation. So it's going to be really exciting to see who takes those positions out and the way look, some of the top four teens are playing really well, but some of them, like the roosters and stuff, aren't necessarily dominating week in week out. So seventh and eighth position could be a nice spot to land this year, given the IMP unpredictability if pretty much every team except for the top two. So yeah, hopefully I'll get those seven from seven right, because I am currently trying to chase down my cousin at the top of the tipping leaderboard. But if you've enjoyed it, let me know, leave a like comment, let me know my instagram, damns, whatever you want to do for us. And spotify, thanks for sticking with us. Looking forward to bring out a lot more and I roll content over the next ten weeks. And Yeah, feel free to go back and listen to other nral videos or whatever you want to do. Feel free to check out the soccer and AFEL content. And for now all I'll say is enjoy the footy. Hopefully. Last night's game was a thriller the storm Roosters and hopefully there's seven more thrills to come. But yet go the blues, go the tigs and see next week. Cheers,.

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