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On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 1 month ago

NFL Week 5 Preview | American Football

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

This episode we preview the upcoming week 5 of NFL. Our predictions for sure bet of the week, upset of the week and best spreads of the week. Also, have a look at the TV Schedule in Australia and break down the biggest games.

Links: https://linktr.ee/ontheball

Welcome back to the honible podcast,another episode of the best potty going around and we're back for anotherepisode of NFL content, and today, as I mentioned in the review from yesterday,if you ever watched that feel Fredo go check that out, listen or watch to iton the various platforms. But today we are here for a week, five preview withthrough the first month of Foote, and this is where you know I feel like weare starting to get a Gesto who the good teams are, and that makes the you know that makes some match. UPSeven more exciting, because you can already start to you know, see someplayoff implications and divisional implications and stuff like that wherethe first month. Yes, it's exciting because you don't know what every ten'sgoing to be like. But there are some games where you actually have no ideaif it even means anything but yeah we're getting into the good part. Nowand there's also, I think, there's a lot more divisional match ops this week.I could be wrong, but I feel like the first couple weeks are trying ste clearand then this period of the season than the last month, they really started tocome in hot and heavy, which is always good. So today, what I'm going to do isI'm going to go through the three categories that we do in ourpredictions. So the show bed of the week so again that I think is, is theabsolute guarantee, an upset of the week, someone who is not the favoritewith the bookmakers who, I think will win and then also going to pick out mythree favorite spreads. I've also got the boys cur some pilch to send methere. So we're going to chat a little bit about theirs will be focusing moreon mind, since I am the one who decided my own. So I understand my thoughtprocess, but will definitely comment on there and we'll give you an update andthen at the end, well I'll just chat about some of the big games that are also going on so sure betterthe week by the way. Let me know your predictions for this round either myinstagram or in the youtube comments...

...interested to hear what you have to say. Yeah, let me know like what you thinkwill be the shore bet and upset a spread that you, like anything, Ialways down for hearing at someone else's opinion or orhaving a chat in the comments or my shore bet is Tampa Bay to beat Miami. Ithink I have done tamper as to show bet before I think to be the Falcons maybe,and I'm going back in the well and they're, paying a dollar twenty they. Ijust think they are a better team really on both sides of the ball. Ithink their offense, especially with Jacobi, resent not that two was likebeing killing it anyway, when he's been playing, but I think right now theoffences just a massive discrepancy like it's one of the best against oneof the worst and then the defenses they're a bit closer together, but I'llstill probably take Tampa just over Miami, so yeah. For me just based onthat fact. I think Miami would really have to play out of this in to win thisgame, so I'm pretty confident the temper bawl get the job done. Miamiweren't that bad, I think, two weeks ago against the raiders, but lastweek's performance against the cult was pretty putrid and even though Tampaweren't great against the Patriots, I think that's even more fuel to the fire.Looking for a bounce back game- and yes, I know Brian flowrs is the coach of thedolphins who used to work patriots and he's had some success against Tom Brady.But I just think this offense is completely different beast and I justdon't really see it well, where Tampa don't put on a bit of a show so they're,paying it all twenty or by the way, just a quick update in the show bedstandings, I'm still a hundred percent pilcher. Still a hundred percent andcurtises at eighty percent he's got one wrong last week. Actually the tons lostto the jets, which was his short bet of the week. The first one we've got wrong.All season pilchers pre prediction this week is the Vikings to beat the lions.I also like this one, pretty like quite a lot I have. I did my kits for everygame before I did my predictions...

...because I don't like to get influencedby the odds and stuff, so I have Minnesota winning by ten. I was had tenby ten, but my difference was that I just trust in non division. Wall matchup a bit more because sometimes the divisional match ups can be a bitrandom, but yeah. It would be a big shock. The Vikings coming off adisappointing offensive performance last week only scoring seven pointsagainst the Brown, so I think they will definitely be looking to come back andmake a statement against the lions whose defense is one of the worst inthe competition just put up just yielded. I think twenty six points tothe bears so yeah. I don't see a world where the Viking school less thanthirty, and I don't know if the lions have it in their locker, especiallywith the Vikings Defense, is playing pretty well right, now, they're payinga dollar twenty. Three, so I think we've actually locked up the twobiggest favorites there, so we're not really gone for any rogue opinions, butthat is the show bed of the week and then Curtis has gone back for the Timesthey dogged him last week, so he's sort of gone law of average's, I guess andhe's taking them at Jacksonville, paying it all. Forty four look personally, I think, there'sbetter choices. I think I have the Times winning by like three or four inthis game. I think there's better choices for a short bit, but I'm stillpretty confident of the time to win, especially coming off a loss. It'd bepretty crazy, though of the jags win this and because that would mean thetimes would be on top of that division at two and three so yeah, that's justas I mentioned in the review. The AFC south is absolutely shit, but I thinkthe times will be too good for the jags. Yes, the jags look better last week,but I don't think the bengals defense was anything special DJ Char goes outfor the well for a long time. Maybe the season so yeah, all of a sudden. Itdoesn't look that good and Jack Wall hasn't really so far at all. So that'sCurtis is sure bet upset of the week me and pill to also a hundred percent herewith three from three curtises at he's, two from six, so he's around thirtythree percent, so he's got some catching up to do this week. We've allgone different ones. I've gone the...

...browns of the charges, it's away fromhome, which I'm always a little bit scared of, because I don't know, as inAustralian sports, homefield advantage, it does exist, but it's not thatimportant where in the NFL, it's a huge thing, and sometimes I do not reallyfactor that in enough. But for me the child is home. Field advantage is areally significant. We saw on on Monday night football last week thatit was basically a raiders home game. I think the Cleveland Brands will winthis by six. That's what I've predicted they are slight under dogs of thedollar. Ninety eight. I think I will be a really really goodgame, but for me the biggest mismatch is the Cleveland running offenseagainst the charges running defeat, rush running defense. Currently, thebrowns are number one in terms of running offense and the charges are thefourth worst running defense. We saw two weeks ago. The cowboys justabsolutely cut them up on the ground. So, yes, I think brands might just runstraight through them and they might struggle with that. The charges defenseis very good against the past. But, to be honest, the browns don't really passit that much anyway. So I don't think that will be too big of a factor. Also,the browns offense is coming off a average performance. Only scoringfourteen points against the Viking, so I don't know I think they may be comein put thirty up and the charges. I just don't think they have enoughagainst it: Brilliant Defense in the brands to score that many points soyeah. For me, I think it'll be close and I think will be really reallyentertaining game. I'm not actually sure it's on Australian TV, it'sactually not on Australian TV. At the moment, however, Fox tell and Cato havenot announced their schedule, but yes, I think the browns will win this onethat so that's why upset pilchers upset is the sea hawks to beat the rams onthe Thursday night football? These nf West ones are always really reallytough and, I think, there's often good value in them or last week I pickedseahawks to beat the forty nine is on...

...my upset, and I got that one. So I candefinitely see the thinking here. My only fear with this one is, I know Isort of seem to over emphasize this, but I do truly believe in bounce backgames like I think you want to play a team coming off a win as opposed to fora loss, whereas the rams just lost to the card was pretty embarrassingly inthe sea. Hawks just beat the nine, and so that's my only issue with it and thesea hawks aren't in great form. However, it is in Seattle, so that's definitelya big factor and Thursday night. Forty years always a little bit moreunpredictable than some of the other games, you know it's a short turnaround and stuff like that. So yeah, I don't had the call at all the nf WestGames are always interesting and I know they all have like dominance over eachother. Like I know some teams in the NEC west, like, for example, Seattlehave been the forty nine as like seven of the last eight times or something somaybe this sea hawks have that over the rams as well. Couldn't tell you, though,and then Curtis is upset of the week. Is the other NC West divisional matchup, which is the forty nine is at Arizona. I will preface this and say:Curtis is a forty nine is fan so take that into account. It's going to beinteresting. For me, this one matters a lot on the quarterbacksituation. I know this sounds weird, because Jimmy G is arguably better but,like I just think of Jimmy g plays, I don't think they have enough fire powerfor the cardinals and the defenses playing. So so well, right now, but forme if tray lance plays and you give Shanahan a week to scheme up some playsfor him, I think this could be really reallyinteresting because it, you know a bit like Lamar Jackson in his first yearthat kind of stuff where it's really hard to defend against an offenseyou've, never really seen something like that before so yeah. I thinkShanahan with a mobile quarterback like tray lance. Ithink he could definitely scheme up some things, not saying that Jimmy G'scraft, all the Jimmy d shouldn't start, but I just think in M my opinion.They're winning chances actually go up...

...with lance plays so especially againsta team like the cardinals who are currentlyfore now and running pretty hot, so yeah. The forty nines defense also hasto lift. I think, there's been a few good players so far this season, butthey definitely need to get more production. I know they've had someinjuries, but yes, they're currently like performingas a bottom ten defense, which is sort of what they built their super bowl runaround. So they need to get back to their best. There they're paying threedollars and four cents. So a big value pick for curtis there, but we'll seehow he goes. He really needs to get that one as he is two from six on thespreads now the leader Board pilchers, absolutely running away with it earlyhe's six from eight going at seventy five percent. I am more and a half fromeleven going at forty one percent and Curtis is two from seven going attwenty nine percent. So men curtis sort of battling it out for a second at themoment with pilch well ahead, but it is still very early days and since we dothrough a week you know you're one bad week away from completely changeflipping the script and for me my three I've gone with I've actually backed upCurtis's call here with my first one, I've gone the forty nine is at Arizonato cover five and a half. I actually have predicted for me this one's a dead.Fifty fifty, I think Sam Fran have had some really really bad luck in the lastcouple weeks, obviously losing to brilliant Rogers last minute drive andthen they lost to the seahawks by touchdown, but had to play with therookie quarterback who, in his first game for half of it. So that's not ideal, soI think they argue for some success in a win, but will that coming into thecardinals and under feeded team I don't know and also on the same point, thecardinals are sort of Jew for a loss so yeah, I don't know, I just trustShanahan, as I mentioned before, to skin up something, especially if lanceplays the Arizona. Offense is pretty scary, but yes, I don't know, I just think fiveand a half a large margin in these n FC...

West Games that are seemingly orseemingly always close. Just some recent history, Sam Fran, have actuallywon three of the last four in this matchup, including to two of thosethree being in Arizona. So they have had some success in this building andin this matchup so could definitely see it continuing so yeah. I've got the forty nights tocover that spread. Then next up, I've got the colts to cover at the Ravens.I've Got Baltimore winning this game just, but I think a seven point spreadfor a defense as good as the cult is very very stiff, are the cults of fifthand take away differential currently so that to me that sort of leans itself toclose games. If your defense is giving you off offense more time on the park,even if your offense isn't lethal like in Indianapolis is right now, if they're not turning the ball overand their defense is getting their offense on the park more than theoppositions offense, I think you know lends itself to a close game. The indiedefenses, both top half in rushing and passing the Rabens past defense alsohas not been very good to this point so yeah I definitely reckon it can beclose. I am scared of the Baltimore Home Advance Homefield advantagebecause it's pretty big for the Ravens but yeah watching the Ravens Broncoslast night, O the last week. I know the Broncos are a very good defense, butthe Ravens didn't really impress me that much so the cults are coming off a good winagainst the dolphins they're. Still One and three in a die position wins theyneed to win a lot of games for here on out to make the playoffs- and I don'tthink they'll win this one, but I think they'll definitely make it close. Thenmy final one is the packers to win by more than three at Cincinnati. I don't know I'm just not reallycompletely buying into the sense in natty form right now they are three andone, but on Thursday night football...

...last week they beat the jags on a goahead field goal and I think the jags one of the worst teams in thecompetition so yeah, I'm not fully buying into that one. They also lost tothe bears only in week to so yeah, I'm not fully convinced by. I notreally buying that they're a good team. I've still got the winning seven oreight games. So I think this is a game that the pack is win and they win well.I've got the winning by eight so easily, covering that spread of three I was looking into it and the packagedefense is actually really good right. Now, it's the eighth best against thepast so and that's obviously Cincinnati's best strength. There's asolid chance, Joe Mixon doesn't play either so they're, definitely not goingto be leaning on the run at any point and that's going to suit the Green Baydefense. Both I was looking at the starts actually in there a prettysimilar line up like both teams, top ten and passing offense top ten andpast defense, and then just Sol it against the run and with the run soyeah. I think it could be a close game. But for me when it's going to when theteams are sort of similar and nothing stands out on paper, you sort of justtake the better quarterback. So for me, Rogers is a lot better bore right now and I just think yeah just have morefaith in the pack as a team who we know we can week out, play really goodfootball, whereas the bangles a bit more of an unknown quantity. So I thinknot one's a solid sole chance, pilchers three. He has the giants covering atthe cowboys. I will also preface his saying he goes for the giant sointeresting. The lads sort of tipping with their heart this week are thegiants did cover last week against the saints. So I think and pilch didpredict that so I think he may be running in hot off that I don't likeI'll be honest. I don't like this one that much I know it's a divisionalmatch up side I think, will be close. I've Got Dallas winning by eight, soonly just over the spread but yeah. I just think betting against Dallas inDallas. Right now is pretty frightening and the giants defense isn't playinggreat, but the giants offence is...

...praying playing pretty well. So it'sgoing to be interesting to see how they go against that on fire. DALLAS,offense, defense, sorry well, in both sides of the ball really dal, soplaying really well. So I going to be interesting to see if they can coverthat I'll be honest if they cover that against the cowboys. I've probablygoing to reassess the giants because they pretty decent team. If they getthat close to the cowboys, then he's got the Texans to cover against thePatriots. I also like this one. The line is eight and a half. I justdon't think the Patriots have that many points in them to win a gain by eightand a half. Unless you keep them to. You know less than a touchdown which ispossible against Davis Mills but yeah, as we saw on Sunday night footballagainst the bucks. I just don't think the Patriots offenses a high scoringone. I don't think they have over twenty five points in them, so I couldeasily see you know a twenty one. Fourteen twenty hundred a D fifteentype game here. I've got the Patriots winning by six. So I agree with pilchthat the Texans will cover, but it just wasn't in my top three. So I like thatone from pill, chas he's also back to the packers, to winby more than three against the bengals and then moving on to Curtis's. to He'sonly done to this week, which is fair play to him. He's double dipped in thetitans he's got the tins to win by more than four and a half against the JAGS. I sort of already talked about thatgame, so I don't really need to go into it further, but yeah fair enough andthen his other one is my upset. He's got the brands to cover one and a halfat the charges, which is interesting because it's sort of is implying thathe thinks the brands of win because realistically the chances that theycharge as win by one point. It's pretty slim, so he's sort of with me there onthe upset, but he obviously prefers his forty niners oboe, the browns upset,because he didn't go with that one. So yeah, those are our predictions. Let meknow what your thoughts are in the commentsand in my instagram dams, I'm just...

...going to quickly run over some of thebig games and give my tip so Thursday night football. We have the randsversus the sea hawks. I have the rams winning by three, I think will be close.I feel like whenever Seattle are in a prime time game. It's always a highscoring shootout. That goes to the very end, but you excited for this one. Itshould be really good game both offenses until last week, in terms ofthe rounds were playing pretty well. Both have big play threats all over thefield, so excited for it. Sunday, night football. We have arguably game of theyear so far chief be bills, probably an AFC championship, game preview- maybethe browns have something to say about that, but probably the number two toptwo seeds at the moment in terms of my prediction here, I'vegot Kansas to win. I just think: Well, I think right now they're two andtwo, so I don't think they go. Two and three is sort of my logic and the billshave been playing really really hot football, but yeah, I don't know. Istill think I don't know. I love the bills and I really want them to takethe next step, but I fully don't trust them in the big games just yet like, Ithink, they're, very, very good at putting away bad teams like we haveseen in the last couple weeks, but when it comes to big game Mattos, I don'thave full faith in them just yet, but hopefully it's a really really goodgame. Hope it's a high scoring shoot out and I'm really interested to seethe buffalo defense. It was not great. Last year the Buffalo Defense, but twothousand and nineteen was one of the sea one of the competitions best, andit looks like it's back to that form, if not even bed up this year. So I'mexcited to see how my homes tries to break that down. On Sunday nightfootball Monday night football. We have the cult versus the Ravens. I'vealready talked about this one. That's going to be another interesting game toteams. Well, the Ravens don't really need the wind badly, but the colds doneed the wind badly, especially if the times are going to be the jags othergames that have been televised in Australia. Co has the eagles versus thepanthers it for, and this is an...

...interesting game. Actually I thinkPhiladelphia are spoken in this one. I thought their performance againstKansas wasn't bad at all. I am taking the panthers at home by three but yeah. I think that's definitely goingto be one to watch and then the other games haven't been announced it on Koor Fox tell and the other ones on channel. Seven four am packers. Bangostalked about that one to death and thirty, a m forty nine as cardinals. So look quickly to forty actuallyreally really excited about the cheese bill. Sorry about that pardon me looking forward to that onegreat Thursday night football. You can rarely say that usually in the NFL,it's usually well like last week. It's the Jags, the Bengals, but yeah excitedto see how the Ram Sea Hawks goes also got a London game this week. So Sundayfootball starts early. It's about fourteen hours of action because I knowin Australia, it starts at twelve thirty. So I don't know what time thatis in the US. I think it must be like nine am or something but yeah. It'spretty hectic. It's pretty hectic day if you're watching football forfourteen hours. I don't even think it's televised in Australia, so I don't evenhave that option. But yes, that will be an interesting one. I must say I don'treally get why they took the Falcon's jets game to London. You think theywould take a more interesting game to try and like if they're trying topromote the game into nationally. You think that would take a good game, nota not a Jack Falcon's jets game, but anyway they might put up somethinginteresting. So yet let me know your thoughts on this upcoming week. Let meknow your thoughts on my predictions. Let me know your predictions areexcited to hear from you go to fantasy episode going out tomorrow, s the StateTum for that and yes very excited for another week of football, enjoy it a.

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