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On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 1 year ago

Euro 2020(2021) Group C Preview | Austria, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Ukraine

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

I run through an in-depth Euro 2020 Group C Preview analysing the form and key players of each side, as well as predicting the 6 results from the group games.

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Welcome back to the on the board podcast. This is another episode of my Euro Two Thousand and twenty preview and we are here again today to discuss, firstly, group see and secondly group D. So by now you would know whether I'm doing it in group by group episodes or two groups at a time. At this stage probably going to be two, but we'll see how I go. All Right, group CEE is an interesting one. No real title contenders, you'd have to say, out of this lot, but three really good teams, and why not so? But good to see North Acedonia in this competition. I believe it's their first one. Believe them in Finland are in their first one. Could be. Could be mistaken there, but I think they are and they're in their first major tournament. Austria. They're pretty...

...solid team, got a few good players, not not a powerhouse or anything. Netherlands were in really, really good form and then Ronald Kerman had to go to Barcelona. Obviously they were in they were sinking ships, so they had to bring someone back from the you know, the glory days of bars or so he went there. Since signing the ball it's really taken a term for the worse and then Ukraine are really promising side with a lot of good young players but aren't yet proven on the big stage. Right more, a little bit more in depth now Austria will be the first team will chat about. Across the last ten games they had seventeen points. So I probably should introduce this like I did the first episode, because not everyone's going to be watching every episode, but I'll be looking at there, for me, the last ten competitive matches, so not friendlies. Also look at their last four big tournaments and I'll discuss their key players. So they've picked up seventeen points from their last competitive ten matches. had a fairly like just an average strength...

...of schedule. They've only scored fourteen goals and conceded fourteen, though, so seventeen points is pretty handy. But when you see that goal difference, that doesn't strike me with any sort of confidence of how they'll go. They're not yet proven at a big tournament. And reason with this team two thousand and sixteen euros. They didn't get out of the group stage. Haven't qualified for you the last two World Cups or the two thousand and twelve euros. Looking at their team in terms of key players from the club season this year. There's not really anyone that's had a really good year, to be honest. They've got a lot of good defensive players. So Martin Hinterregar. He was in the top five for recovery. So I believe coveries are like tackles, interceptions and blocks. Potentially. I could be wrong with that. It's basically just how many times you get the ball back. But he's right up there with that German Bundes League of center back and he's also a bit of a...

...powerhouse in the box in terms of heading. So here's one of the key players I would highlight. Not Quite sure how they're going to line up, but Stefan Il sunk up as well. He measures very highly in that status days, Gore and drug of it. So Three Pretty Handy Center backs. Not sure which of the two they'll go with. Other players to note floor and Grillach. I believe he's still at Hoffenheim. I think the cine midfielder. He is a very good ball progressor loves dribbling. has a very, very high dribble percentage. So he likes to just breeze pass, basically brief passed opposition midfielders and then obviously the style of traction is David Alaba not actually sure what position is going to be playing, to be honest, of seeing him picked it set cdm with he's obviously played most of his career at left back. Played a bit of center back. In the warm up friendly is he's been playing like the left wing and Cam so really have no idea where...

...he's going to be playing, but he's going to be playing a pivoted role wherever he is. For Bayern Munich this year he was in the top twenty of your it's Big Five Leagues in terms of passes into the final third, so very good ball progressor when he has the ballad his feet. He's obviously moving to around Madrud as of next season, so it's going to be why I guess he's got his big move. So there's not that much motivation. But you know, I'm sure a lot of Real Madrid will fans will be keeping a close eye on his tournament. He was in the team the season for the budness league, as was Marcel Sa Bitso, who's probably their main creative powerhouse. He was really, really good in the nineteen twenty campaign. Maybe not as dominant this year, but he loves the goal, loves to keep past. Very, very good player for Leipzig. So here's another one to watch. So yeah, soubets are an Alaber. The names everyone knows and they've also got pretty good center back pairing, W whether it be hinteregga...

...and drag a bitch or Hinto Rega and Il sunker. So we'll find out more about that then. The favorite of this group would have to be the Netherlands. They've picked up twenty points in their last ten competitive games. They've had a very easy schedule, however. Goal difference is good. They've scored twenty three, conceded eight. Haven't qualified for the last two big tournaments and, as I'm sure of you know, Virgil Van Dyke will not be playing in the two thousand and twenty euros. Well, two thousand and twenty one and so confusing. But yeah, so that's a huge out, as it was for Liverpool all season pretty much. And I have to say I think if this tournament happened in two thousand and nineteen, like early two thousand and nineteen, I think Netherlands would have been right up there. Was One of the biggest dark horses and even one of the favorites, because they are in is scintillating form, especially in the nation's league. They were getting big upset victories over some of the biggest names in the world and then all of a sudden a few of their players have lost form. But, more importantly,...

...as I mentioned earlier, Kerman went to Barsa and they bought into Boor who look how I had to say like, I don't know he's extensive manager or history, but as I'm sure a lot of you and me I've only seen his crystal palace spell, where I think he lasted like forty days, and now I've seen what he's done to this Netherlands team since taking over. So yeah, it doesn't fill me with any sort of confidence. They keep player. They're almost a one man team at times, and it is Memphis to pie as Leon is as well. He's just an absolute star wherever he goes right up there in terms of goal involved expected goal involvement. So expect to goals plus is expected assist. He sits thirteen in Europe's Big Five Leagues. Up there in shots on target per ninety, which is pretty impressive considering he starting out and out striker he's also pretty high in the key past start, measuring in the top twenty four that and he is also in the top twenty four shot creating actions per ninety. So he's an all our player us at all creates finishes. He's basically going to be the one man show up in...

...the attacking depths for Netherlands. That the their have some informed players like root, vegue, horse and stuff like that. Genie y now them obviously similar boat to David Alaba, fridge and this summer and he moved. Well, I don't know if it's confirm. I'm pretty sure it's confirmed. He's moved to Barcelona, but everyone knows it's going to happen. So he's not in the greatest of didn't have the greatest seasons for Liverpool, nothing like his nineteen twenty or eighteen nineteen campaigns, but when he plays for Netherlands he seems to go to a new level. I've got Frankie Deong, obviously very, very talented player. We all saw how good you was in that I axe run. And then they've got the likes of daily blend, Dabby class and who are just solid professional you know you're going to get when they turn up. So they've got some really good players. Denzil dumb freeze as well, had a really good season, so they've got some talented players. I don't know how high their ceiling is, to be honest. I think teams like Italy...

...and such have a lot more potential to go on a huge run in this tournament. But yeah, I wouldn't right off the Netherlands. I never would. Then north Maceadaronia. Eighteen points from the last ten games. However, out of their last ten they have easily had the easiest schedule of the lot. Their average opponent fee for ranking is ninety six. So yeah, they're not being tested against many good sides. Goals scored. Nineteen goals against thirteen. So not the worst, but you'd, if you're a team coming into the euro's open to a perform against teams at that low rank. You'd be hoping to kind of be dominating them, if you know what I mean. So with the greatest respect, I'm not expecting too much of Macedonia. The only players I really know is Gore and pendev. He's still magically playing in as Jan Ali Oski. The actually really rate them. Every time I've watched Aliosky even in the championship days. Always thought he was a really, really dangerous player. Now he's kind of settled from a winger to a left back,...

...but sure he'll be in a bit more aggressive role for North Macedonia, so will be interesting to see how he goes on the big stage. And Yeah, it'll be that these teams are beatable. For North Acedonia, that it's not like you're in the group of death with France, Germany and Portugal. There they are beatble sides. So I'll be interesting to see if they can steal a point here or there. And then finally, they've got Ukraine, who a lot of people are saying you're a big dark horse, but statistically it's tough to get behind that. They've only picked up thirteen points their last ten games. However, they have, on average, had the toughest schedule behind Germany. So Germany has got the hard schedule in their last ten. And then it's Ukraine second, so they had really, really tough driving. It was in the nation's league, played some of the world's best teams and they struggled, let's be real. So they scored eleven goal. I think they had an upset victory ever. France, maybe one, so I could be getting confused with Turkey, but they scored eleven goals in those ten...

...games conceded sixteen, so one of the worst goal differences we've seen so far in the euro last two years they haven't got out of the group stage and they haven't qualified for either the last two World Cups. So it's not that promising for Ukraine when you look at stats, but when you look at the team on paper and how they perform for club, that's where the hope comes from. So they're may bans, Roman Malinowsky. I'm going to go with plays at Alant for Atalanta attacking midfielder can play wing. He's sixteen in terms of expected goal involvements, second in terms of key passes per ninety across Europe, right up there in our passes into the box, right up there and shot creating actions. Just an all round jet and he's clearly going to be a key to Ukrane success. Some of their other good players. I think there's a youngster called young cove or something. He plays somewhat of a right wing camposition. I remember he was really good in a couple of the nation's...

...league games. They've also got Yarram, Chook up striker, and Cinchenko, whoever knows from his man city fame. So they do have some really, really good players. Ukraine a lot of young guns, so it's not we're not sure how they're going to perform on the big stage, but definitely the potential is there. Also Andrea Yamba, Lanko overrun, knows from his West Ham stint. So yeah, this is probably one of the Times I said Group A was tough to predict, for that was more in terms of second place. This one's tough to predickt right through one hundred and twenty three. With the greatest respect, I think everyone would agree that North Macedonia most likely to come forth. So the way we're going to do it our prediction, like we have in the last two groups, we're going to go on the match predictor and see what that gives us. So Austria, North Macedonia. Look, I don't see how Massdonia scoring too many goals. I know we've seen a lot of Cinderella stories in these international tournaments, especially as of late, but I'm not going to be the brave one who predicts it. I'll...

...leave that to you guys at home. So I'm going to say, Jeez, Austria is stats are not that good. The in saying that, but I will give Austria the double. I'll say one neil. I don't think it's going to be a very good game. I'll say both teams just eas into the tournament, Netherlands, Ukraine. This could be an early decider for the first place in terms of the group. Hosting this group we will have the Netherlands have three of their games in Amsterdam. I know that much. In terms of who has the other two, it is not being hosted at one of the teams. It's being hosted in Romania. So Netherlands definitely have the huge home advantage there and I think that's going to play a big factor. I want to get behind Ukraine. They have been tough, trialed and tested against some of the best teams in the world in the last three years, but they haven't had the greatest success against them. So I will say Netherlands or. But under the war they have not been good. They I'm...

...going to say the home crowd has it, as is say, and I'm going to say one neal. Or are moving into the match day to so not the most exciting, but you know, they might start conservative into the tournament. Ukraine, North Macedonia. I'm going to say Ukrame at the bounce back victory over north Macedonia, three nil. Sorry North Macedonian fans, and then the Dutch Austrian game. Once again, not that confident in Austria, all Netherlands, but I'm just going to say the home crowd will get let's go to one to the Netherlands, because why not conquer one deal every game? And then that's day three. We have Ukraine versus Austria. I think where I'm sitting right now, this will be a battle for second place. Ukraine, Austria. Austria I have more faith in just as a solid team. Ukraine, I believe, have a highest ceiling. So by this stage of the tournament I'm going to back that. There you know, the youthful exuberance is going to come into play and I'm going to say as Ukraine beat...

...ostre in a thrill at three, to Netherlands Macedonia, I will say the Netherlands turn it on for and will give that North Macedonia goal, because why not? So I'll tell you that up and get back to you of what that means the table will be. Interestingly, I have not gone with any drawers in this group, which is very unlikely, but why not? I've gone with the home side, the Netherlands, nine points. I know they're not in great form. Do bores are very questionable coach, but I think on paper they still have the strongest side out of this group and I think the home crowd advantage will play a big part as if you are a fan of other sports such as cycling and Fone, you will see how loyal and hectic Dutch fans can be. You we know they get behind Max vistappen and then they just crowd some of the some of the TURNF for got what they call hairpins in the Tour de France. I'll go Ukraine, six points. I just like to buy into their narrative if the potential they've got of their young players. Haven't quite seen it against some of the be best in the world recently. But I don't trust Austria that much, to be honest.

They're just got a lot of solid club players who I don't know if that cuts the mustard at this level. So I'm going that Ukraine six points astro three, a massive only zero at the moment. Austria will be going through to the round of sixteen, however, as one of the better third place teams, but I'll get back to that in the knockout preview.

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