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On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 1 year ago

State of Origin Game 1 Preview & NRL Round 13 Review | Rugby League - Episode 136

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

I return in a slightly different episode where I discuss the 4 games of Round 13 but more importantly do a statistically based analytical preview of State of Origin Game 1. I discuss the Key Battles, the Key Players and the method of which NSW and QLD will use to be victors of Game 1 and the Series. 

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Hello and welcome back to the other ball podcast. We are once again doing an and our upisode today a little bit of a different one. We're doing it earlier in the week. Teams haven't come out and all that stuff, but that is because origin one is this Wednesday. So today I'll be doing a quick round thirteen, wrap up, only four games, so I won't take too long, and then we'll be doing it there in depth, origin analysis. Not We don't normally do too much in depth stuff on this channel. We more like to chat about the bigger issues. But yeah, we're gonna have a statistical deep dive into the origin game, which I don't think it happens on too many rugby league platforms. So I hope it was fun for me to investigate and I hope you get something out of listening to it. But first of all, looking at and are around thirteen, it was an all right round. Like never really expecting much from the origin and impacted rounds, are you? But there were points on offer in some games, not so many in others. We start on Thursday night with the dragons, bronchos and yeah, look the this is pretty disappointing. From the Broncos I thought. I did think the dragons are going to win. There a lot of big INS last week, a lot of players coming back from injury, but I still expected a bit more of a fighting effort from the bronchos. And although they scored twenty four points in the end, which I don't even recall, but I think that most of them in the first time. I think Albert Kelly had like three triesis or so, but the dragons ended up putting up fifty two. I think might be the third or fourth time this year the broncos have conceded fifty, which really is an ideal. At least they're scoring points. But Yeah, look, it's a tough time to be a broncos fan but yeah, I guess they kind of deserve it after such long period of success. That's coming from a salty tigers fan anyway. In terms of the halves pairing for the rest of the year, I said at...

...last week and I say it again. Milford's injured now, so they don't really have a choice, but I do think they should stick with Tyson gamble and Albert Kelly for the rest of the year. I know good Tony stags is coming back, so I don't know how that fits into it all because apparently he's playing six next year, so he might come into six instead of Albert Kelly. But I just think right now they just need to use a few older heads in the halves, which gamble, gamble and Kelly are, even if they're not that experience in the RL or recent times. Anyway. Just think Milford needs to have a confidence boost in the Queens one cup for a while. I Know Brody Croft is injured as well. Dean's up in North Queens I now. So I think they just need to stick it with those two. But the issues are every position that you think he's a right there like that, we can have him there long time. Then that seems to be all like every every week there's a new position that seems to be an issue you and you could probably argue that it's full back this week Asako. Look, I'm not the biggest fan of for Sarka. I don't think he's a gun fullback. I think he is just a solid winger, like I know he's had some good games this year, but I just think when you compare him to the rest of the full backs around the league, I don't think he's as strong and he had a bit of a stinker on Thursday night. Quite a few errors. Obviously had that that brain fade just before halftime when they put in a kick for dufty and rather than just kicking it dead with five seconds left, he waited for it to go over the deadline and dufty came and scored. So that was disappointing be a he just didn't have a good game at all. So that's going to be something they've got an address moving forward because I apparently this cell would cobbo kid is a gun full back, but I haven't seen him play it, so I'm not sure. Because apparently, like you'd guess, that's a position that they thought they have. They had settled to let Reese Walsh go. So yeah, that's a big issue. Dragons, big goodwin for them. I guess they've been in some average form. I still don't know. I'm not convinced on the...

...dragon yet, but they're getting the wins, which is keeping them in that topic contention. So that's all they need and hopefully they find formed soon and then they'll be quite a dangerous team. Jack to bell and on return was quite good. He's ball playing was pretty evident straightaway really, so as the dragon start to get full strength again in the next couple weeks, they could be similar to what they were the start of this year. Are just a dangerous, physical team that's ready to, you know, have a crack, and that moved us into Friday night. The Ivan cleary grudge match seemed to so everyone kind of forgot about the Ivan cleary saga heading into last week, but coming out of it they definitely have not forgotten. The West Tigers put on a bit of a clinic. You'd have to say they're in pretty good form. or it's hard to say. Not Say we but trying to be objected, but the Tigers are in good form. You can't even deny that. Yes, the panthers were missing seven or eight of their best players, mostly through origin and one through suspension, but they still had to beat what was in front of them, and what was in front of them was still a very good side. They still had, you know, eleven or twelve their usual team that dominates, and then they had four or five players from their reserve grade, which are on top of the competition. So definitely wasn't an easy win at all, as some people are suggesting. And Yeah, the Tigers is playing really well right now. Luke Brooks is arguably in the best form of his career, I'd have to say in the last month. I don't recall ever see him, seeing, ever sing him play this well do. Dane Laurie has been a great signing, as everyone kind of expected from pain writh, and that master stroke of moving duty to the centers is seemed to help the whole team really so yeah, really strong signs. Luciana LELURE had a great game as well. Someone that can't be that far out of the origin picture of some like Takua sins is getting picked. So I know I explained it last week but yea, I shouldn't say talk inside joke my family, but Tarik sims got picked. So yeah, I can't think Luciano La Louis that far off. But yeah, really impressive performance from the...

Tigers. And something that came out of this game was called it. Dane Laurie dived in the game and yes, he did put some mail on it. But there's a few talks about this in the AFL as well on the weekend. But there's something I've got to point out with this I get it. It's annoying, especially as an opposition Fan, when you see another players stay down and then they get a penalty after them staying down. But the matter of the fact is in soccer what everyone gets annoyed at is the players actually dive when there's no contact. It's not like they get slide tackled and then they roll around. People don't get mad of that. People get DART annoyed when there's no contact and they just flop. But that's not it's what happening here is so what is actually happening here? They're getting crushed or they're getting smacked across the face and then they're staying down. They're exaggerating it and putting as much as as much may as they can and everyone's going or get up your soft it's like, but you're the other players, the guy breaking the rule, not him. He's the one who hit him in the face. So I don't know why everyone's kicking off about Lori and yeah, I don't really get that. Yeah, I do understand it is frustrating. You do see a lot of players, you know, holding their neck with the crusher and then they instantly stand up, but at the end of the day, if the crushes there or if the higher tackles there, it deserves to be paid. I don't get how it comes about. How over, they do need to police that. Then the refs aren't just giving a penalty away because they see the player stay down. That's one thing that they need to make sure because then all of a sudden there's no point in getting up. You everyone may as well stay down and then all of a sudden the Games taking, you know, six hours. So that's something that they just need to make sure it doesn't happen. And if people are so worried about complaining are diving and exaggerating, then they can, you know, like soccer do, you can bring in punishments for players who do dive when there is no contact. So yeah, I don't think it's that big of a deal. Personally, I'll be yet good win from the Tigers. Like they don't.

I don't want to get my hopes up too high, but that realistically they are in that top eight picture with no team really sticking out for those seventh and eighth spots and the panthers, as I kind of predicted on the podcast, maybe not dealing with the origin period as well as someone like the storm will. So yes, but anyway they roll on and they'll be fine next week. I'm sure Storm Times on Saturday night. This was actually surprisingly decent game, to be honest. I was expecting a storm blowout and the titans put up a bit of a shift, which is weird considering they were missing their four best players through origin selection. And Yeah, it's just really impressive. If Brian Kelly only pass it to Philip Sammue once or twice, they would have won this game, and that's the only thing that stood in between them and upset of the year. Have to say so. Huge effort from the Titans, I think Justin hulebrook would be pretty happy with the boys. Think Craig Bellamy would be a little bit disappointed with the storm. They weren't great and I know they had a lot of plays out, but compared it to the last few weeks where they had other players out as well, they were. They weren't good. Drame Hughes was a manse. He's just had having such a good year, same as Brandon Smith. Ridiculous two things that they can have Brandon Smith and Harry grant the same team, who like based on recent form, you'd have to say are the two best hookers in the game. I, which is just ridiculous. Of One came can afford that. So that's just great list management from the storm. But yeah, they roll on another win, an ugly win at that, but it's two points. Firm. They don't care. And the titans, yes, it's annoying that they didn't win and the position there and they need to start converting these honorable losses into victories because that will secure their top eight spot. But ultimately they had some steel, they had some Grittin defense and that's what they wanted to see after a few disappointing weeks. I didn't think they can be all that disappointed. Jadeen Campbell's showed signs debuting at the back, and yet ultimately I was kind of impressed with the times they were really only one or two passes away from winning that game and brought some real physicality to that second half. That second half was one of the best halts of footy all yeah,...

I reckon a lot of drama, good footy, good contact and defense and there was a good game all around. And then Sunday. Yeah, look, I knew this game was going to be a blowout the EELS. They're one of the more reliable teams against the weaker teams. If you're not, I mean they just consistently pumped them and they did that again. The nights are just a shambles right out. In their defense, they are missing a lot of players and I feel like a lot of people overlooking that. They're willing to look at when pain rust all the storm. Miss a lot of players, but no one seems to notice how many they're missing because it's due to origin, injury and suspension as well as origin. Like from the weekend they were missing Pong up piers, Daniel Siffeedi, David Cleamer, Tyson Frazel. So right there that's the best five players. So it's not hard to imagine why they're struggling to pick up victories right now. But yeah, they're just not playing with any sort of group or anything and right now they just look like, if you just look at their team that was on there on Sunday, it's not that far from the bulldogs level just on paper, and I know that's going to save their stars out, but that's just the matter of the fact. They just don't have a lot of good role players, as some of the big teams do, so when their star players go out it's a lot more noticeable. So that's something they're probably got an address. And Yeah, Jake Clifford had a real good crack. Not Everything came off for the young gun and his nights debut, but I think he'll be better for the run. He was pretty instrumental and everything that was good for them. So yeah, hopefully he's confidence isn't bash too much and he keeps going on and the eels look. It's just a eaels type of performance. Nothing more to convince me that they're going to be a danger in September. But another good win for the EELS. And another thing I wanted to address is Brett Morris just announced his retirement today. Before I get into the origin preview. And speaking of origin, he was one of the most reliable New South Wales players throughout a period of not so reliable just you know what I mean,...

...like no one else was reliable and the Morris boys were. So yeah, absolute legend of the game. I'm not going to go into too much debts, so if you want to do some reading yourself on Brett Marris's crew. It's been a stellar career. He's been probably the best one winger, if not the one of the best, that we've ever seen in the NRL or rugby league. Just so consistent, so reliable, so professional. Hardly ever got injured. Had A bit of time at fullback. Was Pretty Dangerous. And Yeah, he's been a very successful player, one of had a lot of success everywhere he's gone. And yet thanks for all the good times. I Guess Brett Morris Absolute Legend of the game. Well done on your brilliant career and good luck of everything pros footy. Moving into my predictive top eight, I have to say there's no changes this week. I'll read out my top hat as it was last week. Storm One, panthers. To just think origins going to affect panthers will in the storm. Evil three are still think they're the best the rest in the regular season for Rabbitos, I've seen. They've got too much firepower to finish below that. Seagulls five, rooster six and I'll still got the warriors and cowboys in its seventh and eight, the dragons. They're still in and around that part. The Tigers is still in and around that part. The nights are still thinking in it and around that, and the sharks as well. Yeah, the warriors and the cowboys are the ones I trust the most at the moment. So that moves us into our origin preview. So bit of a bit of different content here in this origin previous. So what we're going to be looking at is the key battle, so the key indicators that will help us decide who's going to win this game and the series. Further. We're going to look at the key players on both sides of the coin, the blue and the Marone side. was singing about it the other day. Probably should be Maroon, but I've grown up saying Moron my whole life, so I will say Marone. And then I'm going to look at how each team will win it. So off Queensland Win at what they're likely going to succeed at and what New South Wales will succeed at if the shoes on the other foot. So starting off...

...of the key battles, one of the big battles, as it is in most NRL and rugby league games. A lot of the things you are going to be applicable to most rugul league games, but I had had a little bit of a look at the stats last year's three games and these were the prominent features. So the play the ball speed is one of the key battles in origin. In last year series, pretty much every team the one one this start, if you know what I mean. So Queensland and game three dominated a New South Wales and game two dominated and the blues with a better team throughout those first two games and they would comfortably better in this stat and then the Queensland really they obviously addressed it because they came out and started playing the ball about point four of a second faster and they held the blues down maybe point two of a second longer. And all of a sudden there was about a point six of a second swing. And although that doesn't seem much, considering the play the ball speed is usually between three or four seconds, that's a pretty significant change because all of a sudden the likes of Harry Grant, Camera Monster Cherryman's getting quick ball and that's when they're at the most dangerous, especially Harry Grant, who's the one who's receiving that. So that's something that the blues have got to address this year if they don't want game three to happen again and I'm sure Queens will be looking to do it themselves because they weren't. Similarly, want Damian Cook and even like Tommy turbot coming in getting quick ball, because that's when it is hardest to defend, when the lines not setting all that. So a little bit of wrestle, but it's going to be key to manage it because we know how easily Referees Ping set restarts at the moment and they can be so pivotal into a game. So hard to wrestle back the momentum when the other team's got it at the moment with not many ways to stop the game. So it's going to be tough not to give away penalties, but at the same time that rock management is going to be a huge reason why the victor ends up winning goal kicking as well. Go kickings another one. It was basically the decider and game one,...

...with both teams scoring three tries, but New South Wales only converting one of their three goals. It's unclear who will be kicking goals for Queensland this year. You would have thought Pong off from the inn the initial squad he was then out announced out last week. It seems as though homes will be full back kyle fell will be on the wing. They are both goal kickers for Queen the North Queensland Cowboys. Felt is the normal goal kicker, but homes has overtaken him in that pecking order. So I don't know if he'll be doing the kicking. Statistically, he should looking at some of the in depth starts for goal kicking. Home sits about par so he kicks basically all the goals he should misses the ones he shouldn't. Meanwhile, felt is one of the worst in the competition. He misses up to fifteen percent of the goals he should kick. So if felt does kick goals, I think goal kicking is going to be a huge factor. He's going to really have to lift his standards and they think clear he's one of the better kickers in the game, kicking six percent over what he's expected. So if they perform like they're doing the NRA, this is a huge advantage to New South Wales and something the Queens I have to address in their warm ups, as if they have felt kicking at fifteen percent below that could be the difference between them winning and losing the series is he would be likely missing pretty much every kick from the sidelines. So that's something they've got to address. Last year they did it well. Homes kicked well, clearing not so much, but based on recent form, clearly looks to have the upper hand in the Gold King Department, which is a pretty key part of Ruguy League. It's not really a talked about much but when you think about it's worth half a try. So it is going to be an important factor and especially with the amount of penalties that are being handed out at the moment, penalty goals could also be a key factor. Moving into the key players, starting with New South Wales. Pretty Obviously New South Wales key player is the captain. He's been, you know, one of their stars for a long time, and that's James DESCO. Think it's almost been overlooked that he was not taken out, but you...

...know he was forced out of game three, twenty minutes into it and that was after scoring a try as well on the first ten minutes. So not saying that's the only reason. Queensland one. They obviously had a great series, but that will obviously played a big factor in game one and two. He combined for a whopping five hundred and thirty nine meters with a post contact average of just below a hundred. So I think in game one he had about seventy meters post contact. Game Two had about a hundred and twenty. So that's pretty ridiculous for a fullback. For those post contact meters. They obviously have a lot of meters from kick returns, but five hundred and thirty nine in origin as well, that's just unheard of. So that's something that Queens are definitely have to look to manage this year, because obviously they didn't have to manage it in game three because he was injured. So that's something that they're going to have to address. And if he's, you know, getting two hundred and fifty, three hundred meters a game, it's going to be hard to stop this New South Wales team playing off the back of that. So that's something they're going to have to work on, especially with their kicking game going to they're gonna have to look to and this is sounds crazy to say, but they're gonna have to look to kick to top OH and at ot car as opposed to to their school, because he's returns are just too dangerous and they've got to try and limit his touches around the ball in the Ruck as well, you know, limiting offloads down the middle and stuff like that. So that's going to be something that Queen same will definitely be focusing on in their camp. And Ted. He's not in the greatest of club form but when it comes to New South Wales he is a different beast. The other to key players I'll be highlighting food the New South Wales Blues are the two panthers debutimes, Brian Toto and Jerome Lewy. I know it sounds Corny me addressing these two as a group, but there is definitely a reason for that. I'm sure we're going to hear a lot of about their bromance on Wednesday night, but on the field their serious plays as well. Don't let their off field personalities take away from that, and they're going to be huge if New South Wales are going to win this series or not,...

...if you know what I mean. Toto has to feel the boots of Daniel Tupo, who was arguably one of New South Wales best players last year, being in the top to me, the gains in each game in last year series and based on an rl form, the shouldn't be an issue for Brian too, has been the most dominant kick returner and meet a gainer in all of the competition, averaging over two hundred and thirty meters. I think it is something ridiculous like that. And this shouldn't be an issue for toto because it's something comes so naturally to him. But the origins of different game defenses a lot stronger and it's going to be interesting to see if he can replicate those kind of stats in the origin arena. And you could argue that his last couple of weeks he's slowed down a little bit in terms of that aspects. So maybe teams have started to work him out and Queensland might implement some of those strategies going to this game. But too definitely has to find a way to have a huge impact coming out of the back end for New South Wales. Give his forwards a break in those first two tackles of the set. Him and Teddy and out of car will be huge in returning the ball for the blues. Jerome Lewi is another one that's really important for this blues team. A lot of talk about that number of six selection. People want to Jack One and they're some people want to cody Walker there and the six is probably been an issue for us since James Maloney, potentially, and you know two thousand and sixteen, two thousand and fifteen when James Maloney was good. And Lui what he's job is probably not going to take over the game and dominate, but what he's got to do is take pressure off the other stars in the New South Wales team. Blocks like James CEDESCO turbot and the trail are going to be all there as creative weapons. But what where Lui comes into it is taking the burden off. They think cleary and that comes in terms of ballplaying and kicking and Luai is the perfect man for that because he does that exact thing at club level. Cody Walker was almost in a no show last year when he played and replaced Luke Curry after he was injured after game one. And this is somewhere where the blues can definitely strengthen into...

...this year's series. And if Loui can bring that dominance from club land and resemble any form of it in New South Wales, I think they're going to almost unstoppable. His ability just to put the finishing touches on a great set up play leads the COMP and try a sis very good at dropping in for dropouts and that's something that we will talk about later and something the New South Wales are very good out and will be very important into their success. Looking at the Queensland side of things, the keys here are camera monster and Harrod grant. They've rarely been spotted this year for the Melbourne storm, both having in injuries at certain points off the season, and I have to say they were the only two reasons why Queens on won that series last year. And I was a great team effort and they had a lot of role players like Kirk Capewell and Dan Gago I played really well, but if it wasn't for monster in grand game three, there's no way they would have got over the line. I think monsters performance in game three is probably if not, I can't think of anything that rolls are really I think it's the greatest performance I've ever seen from a single player in it in a rugby league game. He was just incredible and every single aspect he did he was creating so many chances. His kicking game was great. He was just awesome. You know, monthster doing monthster things really and grant similarly did not. He held his own. He scored a try, created two line breaks and and also put onto line breaks fathers and for Queens owner when these two are definitely going to be influential and it's going to be interesting to see their fitness. We know these two when they're fully fit, there two of the best players in the COMP probably if not the two best. However, they have are coming into it with injury clouds. People didn't know if both were going to play. Marnie's been asked from the squads, so Harry Grant's going to be right to play. The four hundred and eighty, which is very interesting, hasn't played for eighty minutes for about nine months and monster hasn't played for about six weeks for the Melbourne storm. So that's going to be something very interesting to watch. How they step up in the origin arena, because we know origin. If...

...you're playing at eighty, eighty five percent, it's going to be very, very hard to play well and dominate the game like they didn't game. Three other Queensland is that are going to have a huge impact are Christian Welch and Ji Arrow. One of the big absentees for the Marons side this year is Josh Puppa Lee, and Welch and Arrow are going to have to fill his shoes. Welch didn't have the greatest campaigns last year. He was out of game one through concussion, early Miss Game Two because of that and then game three didn't have the impact, despite his teen's win, that he may have wanted. Dry are had a pretty good year, to be honest. He was pretty good off the bench and he was probably the Marones second best forward behind PUPPA Lee. However, this year is a different story. Arrows now a rabbit oh Welch has become one of the game's best front rolls for the storm and they're both in incredible form and they're in a very good position in their career to fill the shoes of Publi. And this is somewhere where Queensland definitely have a competitive advantage over New South Wales. In my opinion. I think the New South Wales middle forwards be a great players in their own rights. I think that's definitely the weakness of the New South Wales team, with such strengths all over the park, but I think that's somewhere where Welch and Jairo can definitely dominate the likes of Daniel Siffeedi Isaiyo and jacked your boy bitch. So they're going to be huge. If they can give the likes of Harry Grand Can Monster Fast Ball and second phase play, Queensign's going to be near unstoppable. So That's something New South Wales definitely have to address, especially when these two have the ball in their hands. They have to limit the OFFLOADS, slow the rock down and for Queensland's the exact opposite. They have to make sure they're trying to get that second phase played cracking and get fast play the balls. How each team will win? Queensland, when I was looking at how they won their two games last year, the key stat seemed to be offloads. The winner of the offload count last year one each game in the series and in the decide to Queen's I won. The offload count is staggering, sixteen to eight, whilst in the game they lost they were...

...held to just three offloads. That's a thirteen offload difference. That's basically a extra two and a half sets just through offloading, and last year's key weapon at this was Josh Popli, as previously mentioned. He provided three offloads in that decider and although this doesn't sound much, think about off the back of a Puppoli run. He's probably gone fifteen meters dragged full with him and then he gives the ball to the likes of monster and grant with broken field play. That's pretty dangerous. But the he's not there this year and that's a huge side of release for New South Wales. But that doesn't mean that they don't need to focus on this this year. Christian Welch and David for feeder are both in the top five in the NL for offloads per game. So the New South Wales Blues have to really, really make sure, especially for feeder and Welch, but all the players as well. They have to make sure they limit the offloads, try and keep it to under ten, under five. If they can limit the second phase player that monster and grant get off the back of that, and I think if they can do that, New South Wales are going to have a real chance of winning this and another the right the way. I see New South Wales winning it as opposed to Queensland, who will be trying to offload their way to victory. In New South Wales will be trying to kick their way to victory. Strength of the New South Wales team in the two thousand and twenty series was their kicking game. And across the first two games they produce five dropouts, five force dropouts and a forty twenty, meaning from their kicking game alone they got an additional six sets of offense. That's pretty handy considering like that's come out of thin air. You know, if the other team, if they you're then disciplined with the ball, you've got a six seat advantage, like the way they're scoring tries at the moment in Rugby League, in the NFL in particular, that you're likely to turn those six sets, especially in good feel position, into two, two or three tries. So that's going to be really huge for the blues this year. And the Marons were held to just one force dropout in game three and the danger for Queen Sorry, Marons held the blues to that. So that's the side of they took away one of their biggest...

...strengths was their kicking game and limited it to just one. The danger for Queensland is that the New South Wales halves have been on fire in the NRAL. In this department they are the panthers where clearing the while obviously play. They are averaging the most kicking meters per game, behind only the bulldogs, which is pretty impressive considering most of the other top dogs in the competition in the roosters, Rabdos and storm all all in the bottom six. And that's because they're dominating the field position. They don't have to kick it that fire. You know that ends of sets are likely going to be coming in the opposition twenty, whereas the bulldogs of the likely going to be kicking the ball from there and thirty or forty meter line. And also in force dropouts. Both cleary and the why have over ten for the year, which is very impressive. Unfortunately, NRL don't provide a force dropout list as they are very limited in their stats, which is frustrating, but I'm sure that's right up there at the point in in the competition and gaining the Blues Repeat set after set will be key to their success. With the new rules, the Star power the New South Wales outside backs and the heat up and North Queensland. It almost be impossible to prevent the blues from crashing over the line if they're having two or three cracks at a time at the Queensland Goal Line Defense. And this is going to be a huge way the New South Wales can dominate this game and score a lot of points. Really, if they're getting five or six for dropouts in game one, I don't see how Queensland can keep them on to four or five tries. So that's going to be a huge thing for Queensland. Really pressure the kicking game in New South Wales. Don't let them in good positions to kick as well, and that's and the Queensland on the other foot. Off loaning is going to be a huge way for them to dominate this year's open up. Now, I hope you've enjoyed that statistical analysis. I know it's something a little bit different on this podcast, so I hope you've enjoyed that. Let me know your feedback in the comments and my instagram and all that good stuff below and I hope you enjoyed it.

I hope you enjoy the game. Leaving you with a prediction. Look, I'm biased and I'm a blues Fan I do understand that the blues are arrogant and we always say we're going to win and Queensland always wins and I know that it's in north Queensland and that's probably going to play a factor. But I just can't tip Queensland given monster and grants, lack of fitness and their lack of form. Not Saying that when they've played they being bad, they just haven't played. So I'm going to have to tip the New South Wales. I don't see it being a blowout at all. I'm going to tip New South Wales by six. I'm going to say, you know, two to fourteen, that kind of range. That's what most of the schools were last year. And Yeah, hopefully the blues get up. If you're a Marons Fan, I hope the Marons fans get up for you. And yet I hope you've enjoyed that little analysis. Might be doing a preview if around fourteen of the row later in the week. Might not get to it as I am an exam period right now at UNI. There's going to be more content to come, so stay tuned for that. Go the blues. Cheers,.

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