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On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 4 months ago

State of Origin Game 1 Preview & NRL Round 13 Review | Rugby League - Episode 136

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

I return in a slightly different episode where I discuss the 4 games of Round 13 but more importantly do a statistically based analytical preview of State of Origin Game 1. I discuss the Key Battles, the Key Players and the method of which NSW and QLD will use to be victors of Game 1 and the Series. 

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Hello and welcome back to the otherball podcast. We are bunch again doing it and o real episode today, a littlebit of a different one, we're doing it earlier in the week, teams haven't comeout and all that stuff, but that is because origin, one is this Wednesday,so today I'll be doing a quick round. Thirteen wrap up only four games sowon't. Take too long, then we'll be doing it there in depth.Origin analysis, not we don't normally do too much in depth stuff on thischannel. We more like to chat about the bigger issues but yeah we're going tohave a statistical, deep dive into the origin game, which I don't think it ithappens on too many regula platform. So I hope it was fun for me to investigateand I hope you get something out of listening to it, but first of all,looking at and are around thirteen, it was an all right round like neverreally expecting much from the origin impacted rounds. Are you, but therewere points on offering some games, not so many in others. We start on Thursdaynight with the dragons bronchos and yeah look did. This is prettydisappointing from the broncoes. I thought I did think the dragons aregoing to win that at a lot of big ends. Last week, a lot of players coming backfrom injury, but I still expected a bit more of a fighting effort from theBroncos and although they did score twenty four points in the end, which Idon't even recall, but I think that most of them, when the first time Ithink Albert Kelly, had like three trices o son, but the dragons ended up.Putting up fifty two, I think, might be the third or fourth time thisyear that the broncoes have conceded fifty, which really is an ideal, atleast they scoring points. But yeah look it's a tough time to be a broncosFan, but yeah. I guess they kind of deserveit. After such long period of success, that's coming from a salty tigers fan,but anyway in terms of the hares paying for therest of the year. I said it last week...

...and I say it again: Milford's injurednow, so they don't really have a choice, but I do think they should stick withTyson gamble and Albert Kelly for the rest of the year. I know atony stags iscoming back, so I don't know how that fits into it all because apparentlyhe's playing six next year, so he might come into six instead ofAlbert Kelly, but I just think right now they just need to use a few older heads in the halves,which gamble, gamble and Kelly are even if they're, not that experienced inthat are well or recent times anyway. I just think Milford needs to have aconfidence boost in the quins in cut for a while. I Know Brody Croft isinjured as well ends up in North Queens are now so I think they just need to totick up with those two, but the issues are every position that you think he's a right there like that we canhave him there a long time. Then that seems to be all like everyevery week. There's a new position. That seems to be an issue, and youcould probably argue that it's full back this week, a sake. Look I'm not the biggest fan and forSarka I don't think he's a gun full back. I think he's just a solid winger,like I know, he's had some good games this year, but I just think when youcompare him to the rest of the full backs around the lead, got t think he'sas strong and he had a bit of a stinker on Thursday night. Quite a few errors obviously had that that brain fade just before half timewhen they put in a kick for dufty and rather than just kicking it dead withfive seconds left, he waited for it to go over the dead line and Dufy came andscored. So that was disappointing yeah. He just didn't, have a good game at all.So that's going to be something they've got a address moving forward because Iapparently this Sellon Cobo kid is a gun full back, but I haven't seen himplay it. So I'm not sure because apparently, like you'd guess that's avision that they thought they had. They had settled to a let race, Walsh go soyeah t t that's a big issue: dragons big good wine for them. I guess they'vebeen in some average form. I still don't know, I'm not convinced on thedragon yet, but they're getting the...

...winds, which is keeping them in thattopic intention. So that's all they need, and hopefully they find form soonand then they'll be quite a dangerous team. Jack De Bellan on return wasquite good, as ball playing was pretty evident straight away really. So,as the Dragon Start to get full strength again in the next couple ofweeks, they could be it similar to what they were at the sideof this year. Just a dangerous physical team, that's ready to you, know, have acrack and that moves us into Friday night. The Ivan cleary grudge match, I seem to say everyone kind of forgotabout the Ivan cleary m saga heading into last week, but coming out of itthey definitely have not forgotten, or the West Tigers put on a bit of aclinic. You have to say they're in pretty good form war. It's hard to saynot say we I'm trying to be objected, but the Tigers are in good form. Youcan't even deny that, yes, the panters were missing seven or eight of theirbest players, mostly through origin and one through suspension, but are theystill had to be? What was in front of them and what was in front of them wasstill a very good side. They still had you know eleven or twelve, their usualteam that dominates, and then they had four or five players from their reservegrade, which a are on top of the competition. So definitely wasn't aneasy win out, or some people are suggesting and yeah the Tigers asplaying really well right. Now, lukor's is arguably in the best form of hiscareer. I'd have to say in the last month I didn't recall ever set himseeing every thing in play as well. Dane Larry's been a great signing aseveryone kind of expected from penrith in that master stroke of moving. Do Ito the centers as seem to help the whole team really so yeah really gostrong signs. Luciano Le Lui had a great game as well someone that can bethat fire out of the origin picture of some like Tawasse is getting picked sor.I Know I explained it last week, but Yahan said talk inside joke in myfamily, but Tarik sins got picked so yeah. I can't think Luciano la La isthat far off, but yeah, really...

...impressive performance from the Tigersand something that came out of this game was called it Dane, Larry dived in the game,and yes, he did put some nay on it, but there was a few talks about this in theFL as well on the weekend, but there's something I've got to point out withthis. I get it. It's annoying. He especially as an opposition fan whenyou see another player stay down, and then they get a penalty after themstaying down, but the matter of the fact is in soccer. Whatever one getsannoyed at is the players actually dive when there's no contact? It's not likethey get slide tackled and then they roll around people, don't get them outof that. People get die annoyed when there's no contact and they just flop.But that's not so what happening me is so what is actually happening here?They're getting crushed or they're, getting smacked across the face andthen they're staying down, they're, exaggerating it and putting it as muchas as much man as they can and everyone's going old get up your soft,it's like, but you're, the other players, the guy breaking the rule. NotHim he's the one who hit him in the face. So I don't know why everyone'skicking off about Larry and yeah. I don't really get that yeah. I dounderstand it is frustrating. You do see a lot of players, you know holdingtheir neck with the crusher and then they instantly stand up, but at the endof the day, if the crush is there or if the high tackles there, it deserves tobe paid on an get how it comes about. However, they do need to police thatthen the rest aren't just giving a penalty away because they see theplayers stay down. That's one thing that they need to make sure becausethen, all of a sudden there's no point in getting up you. Everyone may as wellstay down and then all of a sudden the Games taking you know six hours. Sothat's something that they just need to make sure it doesn't happen. And ifpeople are so worried about complaining are diving and exaggerating. Then theycan. You know, like soccer, do you can bring in punishments for players who dodive when there is no contact so yeah? I don't think it's that big of a dealpersonally I'll be yea good, win from the Tigers like they. I don't. I don'twant to get my hopes up too high, but...

...it realistically they are in that topat picture, with no team really sticking out for those seventh and eighth spots inthe panthers, as I kind of predicted on the podcast, maybe not dealing with theorigin period as well as someone like the storm will so yes, but anyway, theyroll on and they'll, be fine next week, I'm sure Storm Times on Saturday night.This was actually a surprisingly decent game. To be honest, I was expecting astorm blow out and the titans put up a bit of a shift which is weirdconsidering they were missing their four best players through ord andselection and yeah. It's just really impressive. If Brian Killer only passedit to Philip Sammy once or twice, they would have won this game and that's theonly thing that stood in between them and upset of the you'd have to say so.Cue Jeffer in the titans, I think Justin Holbrook would be pretty happywith the boys. Think Craig belliny would be a little bit disappointed withthe storm they weren't great, and I know they had a lot of players out, butcompared it to the last few weeks where they had other players out as well.They weren't good Dame Hughes was a man he's just had having such a good yearsame as Brandon Smith, ridiculous to think that they can have Brandon Smithand Harry Grant. The same team who, like based on recent form you'd, haveto say are the two best hookers in the game, which is just ridiculous. A one camecan afford that. So that's just great less management from the storm, butyeah they roll on another win an ugly win at that. But it's two points forthem: they don't care and the titans. Yes, it's annoying that they didn't winand the position there and they need to start converting these honorable lossesinto victories, because that was secure, their top eight spot, but ultimatelythey had some steel. They had some Grittin defense and that's what theywanted to see after a few disappointing weeks. I didn't think they can be allthat disappointed. Jadan campbells showed since debutiez the back and yetultimately, I was kind of impressed with the time they were really only oneor two passes away from winning that game and brought some real physicalityto that. Second: HALF THAT SECOND ALF was one of Thee Best House of foot allyear. I reckon a lot of drama good...

...forty good contact and defense and itwas a good game all round and then Sunday yeah look. I knew this game isgoing to be a blow out the eels there, one of the more reliable teams againstthe weaker teams. If you know I mean they just consistently pump them andthey did that again. The nights are just a shambles right now in theirdefense. They are missing a lot of players and I feel like a lot of peopleoverlooking that they're willing to look at when penrith or the storm missa lot of players, but no one seems to notice how many they're missing,because it's jude origin, injury and suspension as well as origin like fromthe weekend. They were missing: Ponga peers, Daniel Syfety, David Clamor,Tyson Brazil. So right there that's the best five players. So it's not hard toimagine why they're struggling to pick up victories right now, but yeahthey're, just not playing with any sort of group or anything and right now theyjust look like if you just look at that team that was on there on Sunday. It'snot that far from the ball dogs level just on paper- and I know that'sbecause they have their stars out, but that's just the matter of the fact theyjust don't- have a lot of good role. Players as some of the big teams do sowhen their star players go out, it's a lot more noticeable. So that'ssomething they've probably got to address and Yeah Jake Clifford had areal good crack. Not Everything came off with a young gun and his nightsdebut, but I think he'll be better for the run. He was pretty instrumental andeverything that was good for them, so yeah, hopefully his confidence isn'tboth too much and he keeps going on and the EELS look interested you type offormance, nothing more to convince me that they're going to be a danger inSeptember, but another good win for the ills, and another thing I wanted to addressis Brett Morris to announce his retirement. Today. Before I get intothe origin preview and speaking of origin, he was one of the most reliableNew South Wales players throughout a period of not so reliable. Just you know what Imean like. No one else was reliable and...

...the mores boys were so yeah, absolutelylegend of the game, I'm not going to go into too much debt. So if you want todo some reading yourself on Bret, marses cruds being a stellar careerhe's been probably the best winger, if not the one of the best that we've everseen in the NIR or rug by league just so consistent, so reliable, soprofessional, hardly ever got injured had a bit of time at full. Back waspretty dangerous, and now you been a very successful player, one of had alot of success everywhere, he's gone and ye thanks for all the good times. Iguess brears, absolutely legend of the game. Well done on your brilliantcareer and good luck or everything post puddy moving into my predictive top AI,I have to say, there's no changes. This week I'll read out my top paid as a Bos.Last week, storm one panthers to just think origins going to affect panthersin the storm evil. Three, I still think they're the best o the rest in theregular season for Rabbit Os. I have seen they've got too much fire power tofinish below that seagulls, five rise, six and I'll still by the warriors andcowboys, and at seventh and eighth, the dragons they're still in and aroundthat part. The Tigers are still in around that part. The nights are stillthinker in and around that and the sharks as well yeah. The worries and the cowboys arethe ones I trust the most at the moment so that moves us into our originpreview. So a bit of a bit of different content here in this origin. Previous.So what we're going to be looking at is the key battles, the key indicatorsthat will help us decide who's going to win this game and the series furtherwe're going to look at the key players on both sides of the coin. The blue andthe mernside were singing about it. The other day probably should be marooned,but I have grown up same row in my whole life, so I will say Moron andthen I'm going to look at how each team will win itself Queens on when it whatthey're likely going to succeed out and what New South Wales will succeed, thatif the shoe is on the other foot, so...

...starting off with the key battles, oneof the big battles as it is in most and roll and Regulae Games, a lot of thethings are going to be applicable to most rapulanas. But I have a little bitof a look at the starts at last year's three games, and these were theprominent features. So the play the ball speed is one of the key battles inorigin in last year, series pretty much every team, the one one. This start, ifyou know what I mean so Queens Learning Games, Redon Ted at New South Wales andgame who dominated it and the blues with a better team throughout thosefirst two games and they would comfrably better in this start and thenthe Queensland really they obviously addressed it because they came out andstarted playing the ball about point four of a second faster and they heldthe blues down. Maybe point two of a second longer and all of a sudden.There was about a point, six of a second swing and although that doesn'tseem much considering the play, the ball speed is usually between three orfour seconds. That's a pretty significant change, because all of asudden, the likes of Paragram Camera Monster, Cherry Omens, getting quickball and that's when they're the most dangerous, especially Harry, grantwho's the one who's receiving that. So that's something that the blues havegot addressed this year. If they don't want game through to happen again andI'm sure Queen Son will be looking to do it themselves because they weren'tsimilarly want Damien Cook and even like Tommy Turbo coming in gettingquick ball, because that's when it is hard as to defend when the line's notset, and all that so a little bit of restell. But it's going to to be key tomanage it, because we know how easily Referees Ping set restarts at themoment, and they can be so pivotal into a game so hard to wrestle back themomentum when the other team's got it at the moment, with not many ways tostop the game. So it's going to be tough, not to give away penalties, butat the same time that rock management is going to be a huge reason why thevictor ends up winning go kicking as well, go kings, another one. It wasbasically the decider and game one with...

...both Tim scoring three tries but NewSouth Wales only converting one of their three goals. It's unclear whowill be keeping goals for Queensland this year. You would have thought Pungoff from the I initial squad he was then out announced out last week. Itseems as though homes will be full back Carl fell will be on the wing. They areboth goal. Kickers for quick, the north, Quins and cowboys felt is the normalgoal. Kicker be homes has overtaken him in that packing order side, don't knowif you'll be doing the kicking. Statistically, he should looking at some of the in depth. Stoutsfor goal kicking home sits about par, so he kicks.Basically all the goals. You should miss the wines. He shouldn't meanwhilefelt as one of the worst in the competition. He misses up to fifteenpercent of the goals. He should kick so if pelt does kick goals, I think goalkicking is going to be a huge factor, he's going to really have to lift hisstandards and Nathan. Clear is one of the better kickers in the game. Kickingsix percent over what he's expected so if they perform like they're doing theR, this is a huge advantage to New South Wales and some in the Queens Ihave to address in their warm ups as if they have felt kicking at fifteenpercent below that could be the difference between them, winning andlosing the series is, he would be likely missing pretty much every kidfrom the side line. So that's something they've got to address last year. Theydid a well homes, kicked well clearing, not so much, but based on recent formclear. He looks to at the upper hand in the Gold King Department, which is apretty key part of rocky leg. It's not really talked about much, but when youthink about it's worth, half a try, so it is going to be an important factor,and especially with the amount of penalties that are being handed out atthe moment. Penalty goals could also be a key facted up moving into the keyplayers, starting with New South Wales. It's pretty obviously new, selfwill S,key players. The captain is been. You know one of their styles for a longtime and that's James deske. I think it's almost been overlooked that he was...

...not taken out, but you know he wasforced out of game three twenty minutes into it, and that was after scoring atry as well in the first ten minutes, so not saying, as the only reasonqueens an one, they obviously had a great series, but that a obviouslyplayed a big factor in game one and two. He combined for a warping five hundredand thirty nine meters with a post contact average of just below a hundred.So I think a game one. He had about seventy meters post contact game to hehad about a hundred and twenty. So that's pretty ridiculous for a fullback for those post contact meters. They have obviously have but a lot of meters from kick returns, but fivehundred and thirty nine in origin as well. That's just unheard of so that'ssomething. The Queens in definitely have to look to manage this year,because obviously they didn't have to manage it and game three because he wasinjured. So that's something that they're going to have to address and ifhe's you know getting two hundred and fifty three hundred meters a game, it'sgoing to be hard to stop this New South Wales team playing off the back of that.So that's something they're going to have to work on, especially with theirkicking game going to they're going to have to look to- and this is soundscrazy to say, but they're going to have to look to kick to toto and ADO car asopposed to to this go because his returns are just too dangerous andthey've got to try and limit his touches around the ball in the ruck aswell. You know limiting off loads down the middle and stuff like that. Sothat's going to be something that Queen Son would definitely be focusing on intheir cap and tee's, not in the greatest of club form. But when itcomes to do in south Wales, he is a different beast. The other two keyplayers I'll be high lining food. The New South Wales Blues are the twopanthers debutans Brian Totter and Jerome boy. I know it sounds Corny meaddressing these two as a group, but there is definitely a reason for that.I'm sure we're going to hear a lot of bad their broman on Wednesday night,but on the field this yours plays as well.Don't let their offer your personalities, take away from that andthey're going to be huge if new south...

...walls are going to win this series ornot. If you know what I mean too has to fill the boots of Daniel Topo, who wasa cully one, a new subway les best players last year being in their top tomeet gain is in each game in last year's series and based on an R l form.This shouldn't be an issue for Brian Tyre he's been the most dominant, kickreturner and meet a gainer in all of the competition averaging over twohundred and thirty meters. I think it is something ridiculous like that, and this shouldn't be an issue for tire,because it's not come so naturally to him, but the origins, a different game.Defense is a lot stronger and it's going to be interesting to see if hecan replicate those kind of starts in the origin arena, and you could arguethat his last couple weeks he's slowed down a little bit in terms of thataspect. So maybe teams have started to work him out and Queens. Let mightimplement some of those strategies going to this game, but tire definitelyhas to find a way to have a huge impact coming out of the back end for NewSouth Wales. Give his forwards a break in those first. Two tackles of the sethuman teddy and ADA car would be huge in returning the ball for the blues.Joram, LEA is another one. That's really important for this blues team. Alot of talk about that number. Six selection people want to Jack One inthere. Some people want a curdy walker there and the six has probably been anissue for us since James Maloney potentially- and you know two thousandand sixteen two thousand and fifteen, when James Baloney was good and the way what his job is is probablynot going to take over the game and dominate. But what he's got to do istake pressure of the other stars in the New South Wales team looks like Jamesto ESCO Turbo and the trail are going to be all there as creative weapons,but what, when the wire comes into, it, is taking the burden off Lathin clearyand that comes in terms of ball playing and kicking and Lui is the perfect manfor that, because he does that exact thing at club level. Cody Walker wasalmost a no show last year when he played and replaced Luke Curry after hewas injured after game one, and this is somewhere where the blues candefinitely strengthen into this year's...

...series and if Lui can bring thatdominance from club land and resemble any form of it in New South Wales. Ithink they're going to be almost unstoppable. His ability, just to putthe finishing touches on the great set up play, leads the competicion at dropping inforce drop outs and that's something that we will talk about later andsomething the New South Wales are very good at and will be very important intotheir success. Looking at the Queens on side of things, the keys here arecamera monster and how a grant they've rarely been spotted this year for theMelbourne storm both having injuries at certain points of the season, and Ihave to say they were the only two reasons why at Queens an one thatseries last year- and I was a great team effort and they had a lot of role-players like Cook, Cape Well and Dan Dago play really well, but if it wasn'tfor monster and grant game three there's no way they would have got overthe line. I think monster's performance and game three is probably. If not, Ican't think of anything that robs it really. I think it's the gradsperformance I've ever seen from a single player in it in a Regula game. He was justincredible in every single aspect. He did he was creating so many chances.His kicking game was great. He was just awesome. You know, months to doing months, tothings really and grant similarly did not. He held his own. He score a try,created two line, breaks and and also put on two librates fathers and forQueens one win. These two are definitely going to be influential andit's going to be interesting to see their fitness. We know these two whenthey fully fit they're two of the best players in the COMP, probably if notthe two best. However, they have are coming into it with intry clouds.People didn't know if both were going to play, mines being asked from the squad, soHarry Grant's, going to be right to play the for eighty, which is veryinteresting, hasn't played for eighty minutes for about nine months andmonster hasn't played for about six weeks for the MELBOURN storm. So that'sgoing to be something very interesting...

...to watch how they step up in the originarena because we know origin if you're playing at eighty eighty five percent,it's going to be very, very hard to play well and dominate the game likethey didn't game, three other queenslanders that are going to have ahuge impact or Christian Welch and j Arrow and one of the big absentees forthe mens side. This year is Josh Puppel and Welch and Arrar going to have tofill his shoes. Welch didn't have the greatest campaigns last year was out ofgame one through concussion, early mis game to because of that and the gamethree didn't have the impact, despite his teens, when that he may have wantedGoa had a pretty good year. To be honest, he was pretty good off thebench and he was probably the Marin Second Beth forward behind popely.However, this is a different story. Arrows now a rabbit O welchers becomeone of the gains best front rolls for the storm and they're, both inincredible form and they're, in a very good position in their career to fillthe shoes of Publi, and I this is somewhere where Queensland definitelyhave a competitive advantage over New South Wales. In my opinion, I think theNew South Wales Middle Forwards all be a great players in their own rights. Ithink that's definitely the weakness of the New South Wales team with suchstrength all over the park, but I think that's somewhere, where Welch and Giracan definitely dominate the likes of Daniel Sopet as a o and Jack Thabeit,so they're going to be huge if they can give the likes of Paragram can mans tofast ball and second face play coin Sin's going to be near an stoffel, sothat's something New South Wales definitely have to address, especiallywhen these two have the ball in their hands. They have to limit the off loads,slow, the ruck down and for Queens on it, the exact opposite. They have tomake sure they're trying to get that second face, played, cracking and getfast play the balls how each team win Queenslan. When I was looking at howthey won their two games last year. The key starts seem to be off loads. Thewinner of the off load count last year on each game, this series and in thedecide or Quinsan the offload counter...

...staggering sixteen to eight, whilst inthe game they lost, they were held to just three off loads. That's a thirteenof load difference, that's basically an extra two and a half sets just throughoff loading and last year's key weapon at this was Josh Pubbi. As previouslymentioned, he provided three off loads in that decider, and although thisdoesn't sound much think of that off the back of a pupera he's probably gone.Fifteen met is dragged for with him, and then he gives the board the lack ofmonster and grant with broken field play. That's pretty dangerous, but he'snot there this year and that's a huge side o release for New South Wales, butthat doesn't mean that they don't need to focus on this this year. ChristianWaltham Dafoe are both in the top five in the nil for Ford put game. So theNew South Wales Blues have to really really make sure, especially for feederand Welch, but all the players as well. They have to make sure they limit theoff loads, try and keep it to undertand under five if they can limit the secondphase play that monster and grant get off the back of that, and I think ifthey can do that, New South Wales are going to have a real chance of winningthis and another the the way I see us hot wells, winning it as opposed toQueensland, who will be trying to offload their way to victory. New SouthWells will be trying to kick that way to victory strength of the new subwaysteam in the two thousand and twenty series was the kicking game and acrossthe first two games they produce five drop outs. Five four drop outs and aFort Twenty meaning from their kicking game alone. They got an additional sixsets of offense. That's pretty handy, considering, like that's, come out of thin air. Youknow if the other team, if you're then disciplined with the ball you've got asix set advantage like the way they're scoring tries at the moment in rugbyleague in the nil, in particular that you're likely to turn those six sets,especially in good field position into two two or three tries. So that's goingto be really huge for the blues this year and the Mirons were held to justone force drop out and game three and the danger for queen a sorry, Maren'sheld the blues. To that. So that's the...

...decide they took away, one of theirbiggest strengths was their kicking game and limited it to just one. Thedanger for Queens Lane is the New South Wales harves have been on fire in thenil in this department. They, the panters, were clearing the wayobviously play. They are averaging the most kicking meters per game behindonly the board ogs, which is pretty impressive. Considering most of theother top dogs in the competition in the Roosters, Rabos and storm are allin the bottom six, and that's because they're dominating the field position.They don't have to kick it that fire. You know that ends of sets are likelygoing to be coming in the opposition. Twenty, whereas the Boadag are thelikely going to be kicking the ball from there and thirty or forty met aline and also in force drop outs. Bothcleary and Lei have over ten for the year, which is very impressive.Unfortunately, N Rl don't provide a force drop out list, as they are verylimited in their stat, which is frustrating, but I'm sure that's rightup there at the point n in the competition and gaining the BluesRepeat set after set, will be key to their success with the new rules. TheStar Power, the New South Wales outside backs, and the heat up in northQueensland it'll almost be impossible to prevent the boys from crashing overthe line, if they're having two or three cracks at a time at the queen'sLen goal line defense- and this is going to be a huge way. The New SouthWales can dominate this game and score a lot of points really, ifthey're getting five or six four drop outs in game one, I don't see howQueens Lane can keep them on to four or five tries. So that's going to be ahuge thing for Queensland, really pressure the kicking game of New SouthWales. Don't let them in good positions to kick as well, and that's and theQueen's one on the other foot off loaning is going to be a huge way forthem to dominate this year's open up now. I hope you've enjoyed thatstatistical analysis. I know it's something a little bit different onthis podcast, so I hope you've enjoyed that. Let me know your feedback in thecomments and my instar and all that good stuff blow, and I hope you enjoyedit. I hope you enjoy the game, leaving...

...you with a prediction, look unbiasedand I'm a blues fan. I do understand that the blues are arrogant and wealways said we're going to win and Queens an always wins, and I know thatit's in north, Queen Elan and that's probably going to play a factor, but Ijust can't tip queen's land given monster and grants lack of fitness andtheir luck and form are not saying that when they've played the in bad theyjust haven't played so I'm going to have to tip the New South Wales. Idon't see it being a blow out at all, I'm going to tip New South Wales by six,I'm going to say you know twenty to fourteen that kind of range. That'swhat most of the schools were last year and yeah. Hopefully the boys get up ifyou're a marins fan. I hope the Marines fans get up for you and yet I hopeyou've enjoyed that little analysis might be doing a preview of aroundfourteen of the interallied in the week might not get to it. As I am an examperiod right now at UNI, there's going to be more content to come so statonfor that go the BUDES CHEESE.

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