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On The Ball
On The Ball

Episode · 4 months ago

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Preview & Predictions | Australian Rules Football

ABOUT THIS EPISODE

In a sad week with no footy, we turn our attention to the glitz and glam of the Brownlow medal. However, we're more interested in the footy side of it all and in this episode we run through our picks for the award, as well as how we think each club will go in the vote count in hopes of helping some punters' multis. We also review the prelims and chat about some potential position changes for AFL players. 

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Welcome back to the on the ballpodcast, another episode of the best potty going round and we're here with anotherAFL episode. Sadly, no AFL games this week, so it's probably goingto be a shorter episode. However, we do need to address the freelimbsthat were on the weekend and then we're not going to touch on the grandfinal this week. We'll be doing that next week in a grand final special. But we're going to meet chat and mainly about the Brown low, whichis this Sunday. Very excited for that. All the boys are getting their multi'sin, which is one of what the brownlow sort of become relevant forfor most forty fans. But still a good night anyway for the non punters. And then we're also going to go through a few other things. We'regoing to rowy mentioned it the other week and I really like the idea ofchat about who could potentially change position or who we'd like to see change position, and we're also going to just have a little bit of a chat aboutmaybe some super coach prospects for two thousand and twenty two. But yeah,probably going to be a shorter one, just a bit more laid back thisweek. I reckon my main folks, is the brandlow, however, butbefore we get into that good stuff, we've got a chat about the twoabsolute bummings. The were the prelimb finals. I warrant introduce you boys. I'lljust, you know, hand it over to you for the review.So, Pilch, I'll let Rowad you most of talking for the port one, but so we'll hear your thoughts on this one. The first game,the Melbourne along game, mate. How'd you see this one? Yeah,you put it perfectly by our calling it a bumming, mate, was just, from the get go, just an elate team versus a team who wasnot up for it. And Yeah, Melbourne would just absolutely unreal. Idon't know how else to put it. Like they look like they could contendwith the Richmond Dynasty. For Mine, obviously, whenever you get to saythat scenario play out. But Yeah, very scary footy, unbeatable footy.Yeah, like that. Their finals campaign paid with their performances over the topeight teams throughout the regular season. Like, if you just look at those thingsin isolation, it's been one of the more dominant seasons. But like, obviously they're fee average results against some of the lower sides which sort ofmade us maybe overlook them a little bit or undast may how would they are? But yeah, if you just look at those performances against the big teamsthat have been incredible this year. Do you think, while I don't gettoo much into the grand final preview Roy, but do you think anyone can beatthem in the grand final? Obviously we know who's playing them, butdo you think they're beatable or not? Really? Yeah, I think onany given day any team can beat anyone. We've seen that this year and previousyears. So I'm they're priming at the right time. The day's andthey've played probably their best two games of footy the last two weeks, thelast three weeks. So yeah, I mean it's been absolutely clinic. Fromtheir big guns are Gorney, probably had the best quarter that the AFL seenthis year and probably the best performed by a Ruckman in the APOL's probably everseen ever. or He's definitely up there. So the good thing about this weekendwill be, or next week, sorry, is that all the damagewill be done in the engine room. You know, it's the two bestmidfields in the COMP and that's just what you want to say. You know, there's going to be all the heavy lifting done by the stars of thecomp you know, like three of them are supposed to be finishing the topfive the Brownlow, which is awesome. So yeah, it should be anawesome battle in there because usually if the midfields lopsided, that usually is goingto give away the result of a grand final. But the fact that,you know, both midfields are pretty evenly mash is means it's going to bean awesome viewing. So yeah, I think if the dogs can find,I had to penetrate a deem's defense, then they'll definitely have a shot.But I think that's going to be the key. That's like the big keyfactor that the dogs have to worry about because I think midfields pretty even.Melbourne's forward line, I know they just,...

...you know, completely outscored the cutsthe other night, but their defense is still stronger than their Ford Mine. So yeah, I think the biggest sort of mismatch is the day's defenseagainst the dogs offense. So I think that'll really be what decides this gameand whether the dogs have a plan of scoring as many as they can,whether it's you know, by a smaller brigade, by like Harry Waitman andall that will probably be the answer, to be honest, because I thinkMay and leaves should be able to contain norton. But yeah, we'll waitand see. Should be awesome match. Is Maze Health any decern or ishe all good? Okay, that's yeah, not good to hear for dollies fans. But yeah, it's weird thinking that there's a potential like attacking issuefor a team that just got a hundred sixteen points in a freeland. Butyeah, that's definitely the biggest mismatch. Pielch, will get the word fromyour first I know you probably don't want to dwell on it too much,but unfortunately your port power. Sorry, I don't mean to laugh, butit's uncomfortable topic. But to be to be fair, it is a laughableperformance. So yeah, we like any anything you want to say before youthrow the Rowy. Obviously gutted. But what do you make of the performance? Yeah, I'm over it now, but I think might from my pointof view, this game was a lot more so port being shit than jeelongbeing shit for me. So I was I think Melbourne were the more dominantteam out of the bulldogs and Melbourne. But Yeah, look, the bulldogswas still unreal and they just they pounced on us from the from the firstbounce. Yeah, not really much to say. Another bumming. But yeah, yeah, that definitely was the our note of the weekend that there wastwo absolute whackings. But anyway, hopefully that means law of averages there's goingto be a good granny next weekend. But yeah, Rowley, any anythingelse you want to add for that Port Adelaide doggy's encounter, not much.I was expecting port to win, like I went into usually, I never, ever, ever put teams in my multi's because it's always the leg thatscrews up and I don't. I want to just follow the players and letthe result take care of itself. But this was the one time I wastemper too, because I thought, honestly thought, that they were home andhose. But you know, when I saw to zero, I still thought, like at least it will be cloase, because sure that the power come back, but not the powers out it Adelaide. So yeah, unfortunately,yeah, it's just, you know, the power just wanted to play bruisefree footy. I think they just, you know, one their qualifying fileon for you look like will be favorites, like our crowd, are going toover the line. You know, the dogs are missing a few keyplayers. Like you know, we're not going to have rhyan Gardner out playDixon and all that. So should be through to the grand final. Butyeah, unfortunately not. So yeah, I think. Honestly, I thinkearly in the yeah, we all wanted a dog's D's Pre grand file andthat's why we were calling for ages, given they had that awesome starts ofthe year. And that's what we've got. So, I mean from Ma Ican't complain, but yeah, would have been nice to say the parenta grand farms because it's obviously been a while. But yeah, it's eitherway. It's a Melbourne B Melbourne match up. So yeah, should begood. I was trying to add one thing. There's heaps of so calledexperts on twitter blaming the loss on the fact we put Willem drew on thebench for the first two minutes, and it's got to be one of theworst takes I've ever heard. Would not have changed the outcome of the match. As Rally said, we came out played, Bruce Freefootie just complacent,didn't show up. Still at a loss by eighty yeah, that's actually haven'tseen that take to be honest, but that's that's real. It was likeNathan Brown or some shit was going was our going on about it was hedid he make that claim, like during the game when it happened, orafter it? They were talking about it...

...during it and then I think hemade after it as well. It was views libre drew, Tag Lib Yeah, two weeks ago and destroyed him. But yeah, yeah, like ifit was during and like someone just said, like Oh, that was dumb tobench drew, like you get that, but if they're blaming the fool,what is it like? Eighty point loss on that doesn't make much senseto me. Yeah, that was pretty shattered. I didn't didn't watch muchof it, to be honest, because by the time I was about toflick over it was all over us. But yeah, I actually thought thiscould have imports year. I think last year I didn't really give them anychance, even though they made the prelim. But this year I just thought withthe dogs in Melbourne to fairly like unknown finals quantities, I thought thiscould have been the year where the power to sneak in and grab a flag, but unfortunately it's not to be and they roll onto next year. Lookslike. Are they going to get Jordan Dawson? Is that all but confirmedor no? I don't know what's happening with that. It's why exact teams. He's definitely leaving, but yeah, it's one of the two. Idon't I'll be honest, like I didn't get the whole requesting to state thing. Like I don't get how you can just be like, yeah, Iwant to go to one of these two teams and like those two teams,just like I know Jorn Dalson's a good player, so both teams probably wantto add him. But it's sort of just random how you can just havesuch control over your like destiny. Just like no, I don't care,I'm going to one of these two teams whether you like it or not,but probably not that way in real life. It's sort of probably just a requestas it sounds, but that would have been they would be a niceaddition if it does. I actually mentioned that in my positional changes later.But we are onto the brownlow section. I'll be honest. This is actuallygoing to be a sort of a weird section to talk through because what we'vedone with sort of collated four or five in and then us three as well, our thoughts on who's going to be in the top three in the brownlowand then who's going to win each club's voting in terms of the sports petmarkets for your multi so we're sort of just going to discuss the options foreach club, the odds and who these boys are backing. So yeah,we'll see how we go. But on the spready Brownlow winners, it's actuallypretty mixed, which you'd have to say is not that common. I feellike the last couple of being expected. But, Pilch, you've gone withthe bond row. He's gone with all of our I've come with parish,so I've actually all in different camps. Pilch, why do you think it'sgoing to be the bond? Partly I think he deserves it. I thinkhe's stretch through the majority of the year was the best stretch and I'd thinkhe would have accumulated that many three vote games during that stretch to win it. And the other reason is I don't think Ali wines will get as manyvotes as people are saying you will. So logic says the bond, we'llwin it there. Yeah, I'm like a little bit confused about this wholewine seeing. Like I know people can make up their own minds, butI would have expected the sports bets markets to basically just a mirror the brownlowpredictor on the AFL website, because I'd have thought that's where people would havegot most their opinions from. So see, the wines is like so low onthey're like, I don't even think he's winning the port votes. Andthen the fact that he's like one of the favorites on sports but shocks me. And Yeah, interestingly, none of us three back in me in.I think we've all on a pilch doesn't even have a me his top three. So, yeah, I don't either. So that shows what we think ofthe wines. Cool, but we could be proven wrong. Rolly,you've gone with clover over the rest. Why do you think Clari is goingto get up, to be honest? So I hadn't put too much thoughtinto it. I was planning on doing my whole Brown low spreadsheet thing tomorrowfor Sports Bet, but I've been bit...

...tied up with Uni. So haven'tdone it yet. So I was going to do it tomorrow, but nowI don't know. I think I would would have it was going to bebond, but I think he's end of the season sort of died off alittle bit and he might get chased down. I expect them to be leading goinguntil about sort of around seventeen eighteen, but then I think he dies offa bit. So I reckon all of our maybe just a bit moreconsistent. He doesn't maybe it doesn't have as many blokes taking votes off him. That's probably a bit controversial. But you know, he's really only gotper trucker maybe gone, but you know, the bonds got. You know,mccrae, he's got liver as. Sorry, yeah, I don't know. I just I think it's gonna be really close. I own it couldbe a tie but yeah, I will wait and see. Yeah, itwasn't. I didn't put too much sword into it. I just maybe allof it has been more consistent. Yeah, all of our probably the most consistentof the bunch, should have to say it once. Pretty consistent,but not as consistent at that level. The reason I was parish obviously thosewho have watched the show know that I like have a little voting algorithm thingand I've done it for the Brown low so I've changed it from five votesto three and all that stuff. And Yeah, I just had Paris ontop. He interestingly wasn't on top in the five votes, but he pulledin eleven matches for me and Essen only on d eleven times. So Idon't know if that matched up exactly, but pretty close. And he actuallyhad nine three vote performances. So you probably won't get nine three voters onthe night because that's pretty hectic. But yeah, that's why I had himabove the bottom. Others is just I had him getting a lot more bestons. He obviously want a lot of those man of the match metals andstuff and some of the big games, but maybe nine. It's a bitof a stretch, but yeah, I've got him doing that. So that'swhy I've got him. And then, yeah, we don't really need tochat about second and third. I feel like it's just the other contenders.So looking at Adelaide, then in the Malties, obviously this market is withoutrory. Led Roy has gone with Ben Ky's I've also gone with Ben Keys. So, Rowey, why are you backing in Ben Keys? I thinkhe's a dollar ninety five at the moment. I just love been Kay's I don'tknow, he's like one of those blokes, you know, I don'tknow as one of those blokes on his frof. So I don't know,I just like him and obviously hate text so huge reason to go keys overand but yeah, texts will probably only pulled, you know, three inthe first three and they're not anymore. So you know, keys has got, you know, probably about twenty, twenty three games to work with.So yeah, I just think he's protected to have a few good ones,got a few outstanding games. We've got a hundred, fifty, sixty supercutchpoints. So you expect him to get someone there and just, you know, thrown hopefully someone or two voters. Yeah, I just expect him toown school text yeah, I'd keys as well. Obviously, like statistically preferinside midfielders. But the only worry for keys is that, like he's notthe necessarily the biggest name, because who does the votes? Is that theUMPIRES? Yeah, yeah, I was confused because different sports it's diferent people, but yeah, he's probably like a less of a big name than someof the other guys who, you know, if there's a game where no onereally stood out there might just go I will give it to dusty orI will give it a bond, where keys is probably not benefitting from stufflike that, where those votes are probably got all lead or even like Sloanwhen he plays well. So that is why the issue. But yeah,I'm with you there, Roy. I think he'll just pick up enough oneand two voters peeled. You've gone with the big text. I assume you'refrom the standpoint there, like his early lead would just be too big tochase down. Yeah, I just don't think keys will get enough votes.It'll be close, but just the fact Adelaide didn't win many games. Lador take most of the threes when they do get up. So just don'tthink key's will quite make the double digit figure. Yeah, fair enough.Right onto Brisbane. Pilch and you both...

...had lines, not the Brisbane Lyons, jared lions. He's the favorite pretty clearly. PILCH. DRECK in.This one's a given. Or do you reckon? It's actually closer than peoplethink. I go we're close with Zorko, but I think lions deserves it,but he's underrated, less of a big name, so not convinced toactually win it. But I if I was given even odds, I wouldtake him. Yeah, that's fair. I think he's paying a dollar forty, so he's pretty short. But yes, orka's eight dollars fifty. He's mypick. I do think what I sort of said ast him miss.I think you miss missed one one, I think around the by area.Yeah, because I think he missed the suspension backing onto the by or somethinglike that, and that's in the same about you. But yeah, Ireckon a dolls fifty is legit good because when meal went down, human mccluggageshort just stepped up and then for the rest of the seasons or goes really, really good. So yeah, I'm very shocked at the a dolls fiftyvalue, especially because feel like he's sort of a more wellknown player and maybemore impactful than jarred lions. But yeah, if they're I don't know if whatthe UMPIRES use, like if they look at disposals and goals or something, because, yeah, if they look at disposed it was jarred lions andprobably just pocket one or two every single week and all get him the jobdone. Mccluggage also mentioned by someone. I think maybe Hoodie. I thinkmccluggage will start well and I think you might fall way. I don't thinkhe had the greatest end to the season. where I think lines and ZORCO willbe able to pick up votes throughout the whole thing. Then collingwood oneof the more interesting ones. I reckon pilcher's gone with cris but the brownlowpredictor has atoms. Let skip. Yeah, well, we'll come back to theblues. But the Brown land predictor has Adams, as do I,and then the rest of the boys that we have their results. Have Gonneto go ee. So, Roy, why do you think to go ewill be getting this one? Honestly, I don't know. I just sortof went on some predictors and just sort of factored in what I reckon willhappen, but I think to go he's and essays only moved to the midfield. He dominated a few games. You know, you got like thirty justyou know, he added on his own string and think ended I've kicking afew as well when he went forward and those topic. Games only stand outUMPIRES. So I guess that might be the reason why. You know,if it was if maybe collingwood had one a few more games, or mightsay crisp, just because he was obviously a lot more consistent throughout the wholeyear. But just given they didn't win his many they're not going to begetting as many votes. Hence it's more likely that someone that you know,someone like to go, we will overtake a more consistent play like crisp.So I guess that was my reasoning. But yeah, yeah, definitely reckonsome one like to go is like a lot more noticeable, like sort oflike stringer, like dusty. Even if they have only twenty touches, whereAdams might have thirty five. Like to go is still probably a signific gettingvotes over Adams pilch. You went with crispy. Boy. He's paying eightbucks, which I do think is value. Do you reckon he's a genuine chanceof this one, while you've obviously picked him? So you do,but why do you reckon that? Yeah, once again, that sounds like value. Yeah, I just think he had the most consistent year out ofall their midfielders. Adams missed a few games and didn't even have his bestyear. So I think grundy might be a sniff as well. I thinkit'll be close between them for to be honest. So, yeah, Ijust think crisp. Yeah, I feel like these are the teams that alwaystrip people up, like they don't have many wins, there's not really astandout player. Like yeah, it's going to be tough because the yeah,it's probably not going to be many votes the eventual winner. And Yeah,this is sort of like the thing.

It was Jay grow mirror of twothousand and nineteen or something. The whole thor market their run got wrong.So, yeah, this will be a tricky one. I reckon to go. He's playing at dolls sixty, so not value, but if you obviouslythink he's going to get the job done, he's a fair choice. But yeah, I think Adams is interesting. That is the Brown the predictors gothim and he's only three hundred and twenty. I found that to be quite interesting. And then, yeah, we'll go back to Carlton. Most ofyou boys had Harry McKay, pillches back crips in and I actually had weedring, which is a little bit interesting. Rarely a key back and picks upmany Brown low votes. He's playing fifteen bucks as well, so verygood value, but just a matter of whether he get the votes done.But Roley DRECKON macai serious value. Two dolls forty. That I reckon.So Yeah, I mean obviously Walsh will poll tongues, but I reckon.You know, colman metal. He had a few bad games were kicked bag. So I guess it's hard for anyone else to take votes of him because, you know, crips had a pretty poor year and you know, Ijust don't think we ring's going to get many votes, to be honest.And I I can't see Ed Turner either. I think he was one of theother ones. I was up there. So yeah, yeah, I justthink allisill. Turned to Harry McKay. You know, it's the all forward. Playing a good game is easies position on the ground to notice.So yeah, that's just why I went him. Yeah, I don't Idon't agree with it in terms of like he might get two votes and Idon't think it was the second best player in the park. But yeah,I definitely think you're right there because you know it's a tyrant game the umpiresthinking about it and like if the blokes kicked for goals or something and it'sbeen a pretty average game, which most of the column ones were. Yeah, I can't see why they wouldn't just give him votes sort of just outof necessity when you keep that many goals. So yeah, that one looks likevalue at two hundred and forty, even though pilch and I don't agree. You could also maybe put a buck on crips as well, just incase the guy doesn't get up, because you can do that obviously, becausethey're both above two bucks. Then on to Essendon. This is a weirdone. We all went parish paying it all fifty, but then pilch decidedto change it up. The only one who didn't back in parish. Didnotice. You said this a few weeks ago. You went with merit,do you so? Obviously you're just not high on parish at all. Notreally a lot. Kind of wanted to be a bit not just follow thepack with these picks, but merit did have a more consistent season, soI don't know. Paris will definitely have a few three voters, but Ican see it being pretty close. Yeah, and yeah, I can see thatactually and Essen them we're in a lot of close games. So usuallyif someone's like just consistently decent, their game doesn't their team doesn't win manygames, it doesn't get them much. But Essen actually we're in a lotof them. So yeah, he could pick up a lot of ones andtwos. For me, I just think parish has three voters will get himover the line. But obviously that's a matter of opinion merit. Paying twothirty five. So probably not the value you want. But obviously, asI mentioned before, if that's who genuinely believes going to get the job done, you're back im in. Then next, this is the interesting one. Monday'spaying a dollar eight and not all of us weren't Monday, which maybeputs a bit of doubt in people's heads. Because for that for that value you'rewanting to guarantee. Malls went with Bra Shure. I went with ShortDarcy, but Rohad you think Monday's a certainty? I don't think certain.If I still working. He's a very good chance. I mean I thinkwe talked about I know how long ago, but he just had a really goodstretching games, only more so to the style of year where he justwas unstoppable. So yeah, I you know it's a midfielders award, aswe will say. I know I just contradict we just said about Harry McKay, but you know, it is a midfields award the end of the day, and in those for our games, I can't that was like before theSeann Darcy surge. So I can't see...

...many people taking votes off him.So yeah, I'd like. I'll be back in Monday, but probably won'tput him into Maltie's given I don't want to put in in give it isno certainty, giving his like short of a dollar ten. So yeah,yeah, it's going to be an interesting one because, as you mentioned,it's going to come out the gates hot. Could even lead the Brown law actuallyat about like round eight or nine, and then the boys are just goingto see. The boys are going to come flying bray sure, andDarcy darting stained twenty one bucks. So that'd be a Piscer if that gotup bray shore paying six dolls. So probably not even that bad value.Yeah, I'd probably steer clear of Freyo because, although a lot of peoplethink it's a certainty, I just don't think of dollar rate. It's worthit really, like, is that really adding that much value for that risk? And then next we had a short thing, except for me, whichis doesn't really change us. Is Essentially still short thing because mine doesn't reallymatter. I got three paying a dollar or eight. I had Stewart paintabout twenty six bucks, but yeah, I don't think we need to talkabout that one really. You boys all back and got three consistent player prettymuch picks up thirty thirty five every week. So I definitely reckon heal be accumulatingthere. I Love Tommy Stewart and I reckon he's a very like noticeableplayer, but I feel like the UMPIRES when they're watching like things like kickoutsand stuff, they don't give a shit about that, where that's something thatlike my formula takes into account and super coach does as well. So yeah, I feel like it's not a backman's award this one. Then Gold Coast, another interesting market. I would say Anderson's pretty bad value at a dollarforty. Considering that, I think three of US didn't go with him.However, you boys, did peel chatty feel about the Gold Coast market?Absolutely no. IDEA. Yeah, like I was trying to think outside thebox and just no one sprung to mind. So I just think I just wentAnderson just because the other options we're just even worse than Anderson is,who's pretty bad. And, to be honest, though, that could bethe umpire's train of thought. So you could be onto a winner there.But yeah, the other people who got mentioned, Ellis got picked twice.WHO's paying for Bucks? I'll be honest, I haven't watched much of the GoldCoast. I didn't, though. I I was bitch surprised to seethat. But if his four bucks, people must be liking it. Iactually have the COACIS, who's at about sixteen bucks. I don't even thinkthat one's outrage it. So I think it's value. I don't know ifwill happen. Once again, this is probably a pretty low scoring market.So yeah, this is another tough one, probably one to steer clear of inthe multies. However, next we've got the first shore thing, JoshKelly paying it all twenty five everyone. There's about six or seven of us. Put it in. All of us back to men, as well asthe Brown, the predictor. I'll probably look at look at this on Sundaynight and be thinking why did I say this? But I think we couldtake this one to the bank. I think if seven of US agree,I'm willing to say it's going to happen. A dollar twenty five is like somethingvalue but for a certainty, like you're making money. So yeah,it's an interesting one that we all agreed on that one, because you know, like Jacob Hopper made the Australian team and stuff like that, so maybeit's actually more competitive than we're thinking. Rowed, you reckon that's true?Or Directing? This is a given, probably given. Yeah, I don'treally see ane. I was taking them off him like Tranto will poll Ithink Triano was second, but in line, but con seeing catching Kelly. Yeah, I think I had Kelly out by a fair distance that Toronto,and then just below them I had green and hopper. But yeah, forme it's Kelly and obviously the umpires will include the fact that he's a sexymotherfucker in their voting. On to Hawthorne. As I mentioned before, this isalways one of the toughest. I...

...actually one of my winners are thethree way tie. One of them doesn't even isn't even in the market.So that just shows how up in the air this one is. I thinkfor me the winners only had three votes, so this is really a shit fight, and one of them was Johnny Segler, because I had him Getten, a three vote performance in like round eighteen or something. The favorite isJago own mirror. Pilcher's got a Mir rowy. You've actually gone wing guardat two dollars twenty five. What was your thinking behind that one? Ithink you just came home really strong the end of the year. I'll hecould put into the midfield a bit more. He's one of those flashy players atthe arms notice and Hawks won a few games the end of the year, so I think he was one of the strong performers in those games.So I think I'm mirror performs well in a lot of games when Hawk student. So yeah, so I've Gone God, yeah, apologies, I just realizeI've not been mentioning who the markets don't include. But yeah, ifyou're if you're interested in this, you probably know who it doesn't include.Anyway. Yeah, I also had Blake Hardwig Tipe for mine, but he'sa hundred and one bucks for you're argy value. But yeah, he's aBackban who's pretty mythical. I don't think an umpire would name him if theyhad the opportunity. So yeah, but there are were quite a few windguards in there and interestingly, the Brown land predictor has omere and wing Gouttied. So yes, and then moving on to Melbourne, another one thatwe thinks the sure thing and it's actually better value than Kelly. We allhave all of our. He's paying a doll thirty, which I'm actually surprisedat considering he's in the brownlow conversation. I don't think I've really heard petrarcamentioned, apart from maybe a top five chance, so I'm a bit surprised. He's adult. Thirty Pilch, we taken that one to the bank.No, you put you from down their minds, mate. No, Iwent. I said Oliver, but I if you look at my top three, I'm pretty sure I put all of a second petruck a third age.So I'm predicting a tight one between them two. I will say, though, however, every other person and the predictor had all of our in thetop three and Petrarca made no one else's, so that does refill my confidence alittle bit. But yeah, it is dangerous just because for truck isso good and, as we keep mentioning, he's touches a very noticeable, veryimpactful but you know, the arms in and around there, the ball. They're surely seeing that, the rang of hair flying around getting nut andsurely he gets like ten votes for his gaming. Is Adelaide. So yes, fair play to call on to north. Another interesting one, I'd have tosay. You boys have both backed in cunners, so I was thepredictor and he's a dollar fifty. I've got a tie between cunners and Zeebel, Zeebel being a backman, pretty relevant. He's thank you to one bucks.Drive Simpkin, however, two dollars forty, which is an interesting one. I'm back in Connors here, because why not? He's a hard that. But yeah, at the end of the day this is probably going tobe another low voter because it is North Melbourne. Then we've got poured Adelaidewithout ones or both, which I think is a bit of a dog acts, just like I don't like taking out two blokes. Come on. Butanyway, now this one was an interesting one. Amon's paying a dollar eighteen. The people who didn't back that in was moles and me, which seemsto be a bit of a trend. So maybe just take the other's opinions. I had a literarlier time with Aimon. Literally is paying five bucks. Ithink that's not bad value, to be honest. Something had a lotof good games and he's noticeable. So yeah, field chievement. Actually,no, I won't ask. I know I ask you because you are pouredout lay. Fam you think calaim on was the clear winner here? Yeah, I don't really think he'll pull that well, but I think but behindboken wins. It's always a different bloke...

...who steps up. For us,like we got quite an even spread, so I think we'll have heaps ofblokes who just pick up one, two or three votes for the season.So I can't see anyone contending with aim on. Yeah, mine was veryclose. I think I had like six or seven blokes within a couple votesof each other. I do think all is value at five bucks. Andthen he had a really well. Everyone thinks he had a really good season. Miles is gone. Dixon here's big value at twenty one bucks. Butyeah, I don't think Dixon kicked enough goals to, you know, getthose votes that like a Harry mcaul will get when they don't know who togive votes to. Five ago. We're up to Richmond. Everyone's backed industy Martin here, which is pretty incredible considering miss like the last six orseven games. He's paying it all at ten. I've Gone Jack Graham,obviously because I'm a cooker. He's pinned about fifteen bucks. Roley, areyou pretty confident on the dusty? Yeah, I don't again ever take dusty.I don't had too many standouts this year, Richmond. Sorry. Yeah, it's pretty sure thing going. Yeah, and like as we came mentioning impactfulplayer, one of the most noticeable players in the competition, and sometimesreputation proceeds people, especially in voting. So yeah, if it's sort oflike a tie between three people, shy bolt and lean baker and dusty,you know they're given dusty the three. So yeah, I reckon that one. will be a pretty low voter, but yeah, I can see whyruns back and in dusty St Kilda without steal. Obviously this one's like adead tie between the boys. Rowy and I went with Dunston, pilchers gonewith Crouch and the Brown l predictors got dunston. Dunston's the favorite at adollar eighty. Crouch is that. They are runner up at two bucks eighty. Rowy is the St Kilda Fan. What are your thoughts here? Iwell had Dunston and then I had Jack Jones. Actually I cans. ZackJones is maybe a sneaky chance. It's some value he had from one ortwo three game voters, three vote games, sorry, and maybe a couple wherehe got a couple. So yeah, I don't know. I reckon he'sa better chance and crouched over take dunston Bible say. It's funny.I think Dunston doesn't have a contract now, but yeah, that would be soweird if he actually does win this market there will be thinking he hada gun season or whatever. But and he's a free agent. But surelywould give him a sniff of getting another contract if he does do well onthe Brown Ley night. But yeah, I think I was actually with youRoy. Think I had Zach Jones ahead of Brad Crouch and I think Imight have had Google Howard over ahead of both of them. But, asI keep saying, backman don't get votes. Three to go Sydney. This isan interesting is it really? I don't know. I think everyone's gonewith Parker except for me. So once again, ignore my thing. AreParks about it all? Fifty. I've gone with mills. Two Bucks Fifty. I think meals is a sniff. I feel like there's a lot ofgames where they both get pretty similar start lines and it's sort of just whoyou like more. But yeah, Piogg, are you backing in Luky boy?Yeah, I think mills cost himself the MIS award by missing the lasttwo to three games, because I actually think you had a better year thanParker. But yeah, also, park is the bigger name, so whenin doubt, go with the bigger name. But wasn't he out? Because ifhe was out of COVID exposure side? Yeah, yes, stiff to beyes, sticking. There wasn't a bumbing mate. That is well,you said you let you could be cost himself the award, but Nah,bare enough. Yeah, I didn't actually factor that in, but that couldhurt meals. The brownlon predictor has it as a tie actually, which isinteresting. So that could be a bit of a squeaky bum time that one. I don't know how park went on the last couple, but yeah,it comes down to those ones where mills...

...misses out and there's like a oneor two vote lead. That could be pretty saucy. West Coast this isa pretty open one. They don't really have a clear stand out apart fromnick that, but rough and don't get votes. So the main contenders areshe'd, Kelly and gaff she's paying two dollars thirty. Kelly's paying two dollseighty five. Gaffs paying three hundred and seventy five. Gas is actually thefavorite on the aflcom Brown. They predictor row. He's gone with Kelly andPilcher gone with she'd. I obviously gone with my boys shout and Herne,but he was not in the market. So not sure how that affects yourmultis if you could dry and stick him in. But Roy, what didyou think when you were making the West Coast Cool? Why, I visitedlike about two or three different sizes. They all had different people winning it. So I thought OK, I use a chance to find a bit ofvalue, but I just reckon. You know, Tim Kelly's dominant games arereally noticeable. So that's really very reasonably win it. So, yeah,what's The thinking? Because I've never done these multis before, but like whenthere's one that's wide open, are they the ones you like more or theythe ones you sort of looked to steer clear of? No, I isbecause there's always value on it. I guess, you boys, you justgot to sort of map out of like three or four predictors and find out, you know, I guess, like the the average and like, youknow, the worst case in R and best cause and I are for everyplayer and then just find out the best chance he's getting one. So yeah, I don't know, it's like you don't steer clear from them. You'veprobably still clear all the other ones just because they aren't offer tim value.And I know it's all happened, but anything can happen on Brown and night. So it's just like a real game before you know you don't really wantto put in like a dollar five like int your multis. Yeah, yeah, and then finally onto the doggies without Bonto. Mccrae, this sound's interesting. Like I reckon this is a bit of arbitrage betting for you as theysay, liver and Bas Lanka. When I took down the odds, bothabove two bucks, Libert two hundred and twenty, Baz hundred fifty. Wewere pretty much split down the middle. Most of us. PILCH is gonelibber. I've Gone Libber, row he's Gone Smith. The Brown let predictorsGone Smith. However, the third favorite is true law on about ten bucks. So if you're confident that someone's not coming from range and still in thiscrown, you could just put a buck on both, or however much youwant and you'd be profiting. But yeah, so it's just the business. Thefinance man talking the field we I was actually surprised you went liver.To be honest. I thought you weren't a fan of lives work. Butdo I can liver wins. He's easily here. Yeah, I actually do. I think Bompton mccrae obviously still all the votes, but all right,I don't think Bas Lanka had that good a year up until maybe the lasttwo games and then finals where he went to another level. But obviously theydon't count. So I can't really see Smith winning it. Yeah, Ithink if it's done on who's the best player each week. He liver winseasily. My only concerns despite his tats and stuff, I don't think hisworks that noticeable, like the inside handbules, whereas Bazz lank a bit more ofan outside player during the regular season anyway, is, you know,obviously bas lank with the mullet a lot more noticeable. So that's my onlyconcern with this one. But yeah, if it's just I'm scared of theMollet. But yeah, I just think livers first ten weeks, like Ireckon, he will genuinely contest with the Bonto mccrae for their votes in thatperiod. He does get tagged pretty much from then on, so you mightgo vote was from about the buy rounds to the rest of the season.But yeah, that'll be an interesting one because I imagine that Libert will goout to a pretty big lead and then,...

...you know, the other guys willstart chasing him down. That could be an interesting one, though,because it could be pretty low votes, considering it's without Quanto mccrae, becausewithout those guys they're taken most of the big voters. But yeah, Ithink that's enough for the Brown low. I think we did all right there. Hopefully you've got your multis in order. Now onto some positional changes. Thisis really just some these next two segments are just going to be usjust chatting. Boris as usual. Rowy join start us off. Made letus know what she's thinking, whether you think these are going to happen,whether you just want to see these happen. Sure I'ms are off be fly throughthese boys, because I've got something to be five names down here I'vegot Gary Rowan to the back line that he can't get a touch in theforward line or basically anywhere on the ground. So just you know, if someone'sfucked then put them on the halfback line. They can revive their career. Stephen Canelio to the forward line. Bit of help for Toby Green,is a sort of medium sized forward. Thought they'd be cool because they gota lot of depth in their midfield. Tayleb march bank coming back from thegrave for the blues. They've got a backline sort of set now and I'vegot no support for Harry McKay apart from Charlie Cano, but why have twostools when you can have three? So chuck him up forward. Then yourboy, peelch Martin Frederick you got a lot of half back flankers, whichwas what I noticed, especially with Dawson. They be coming in. So ChuckHim in the forward line. He's below one hundred and eighty centimeters,perfect tight for a small forward and when fantaged es string every second week hecan feel that void. He's quick. I saw he has a lot ofpress tracks as well in the Games he played. So perfect for a smallforward. And lastly, big CJ, Horse Cock give can play for thebe killed, burst out. He's he's got those dashing a billies that notmany of those Hawthorne mids have. Mitchell and I mirror both handballers. SoChuck CJ and there bit of absolutely no idea how those blokes are doing thosepositions. I just thought of be quite fun to list some things off.But yeah, they would love to see all those pilch. Who are youlooking at here? Firstly, imp I know he's I know he used tobe forward, but back to the Ford Line next year. You're given Hawthorne'sdepth in defense. And then similar thing. He's played a bit there, butHunter Clark. Hopefully see him in the guts next year's. And thenI've just got port ones, Todd Marshall, either d list or swinging back.He's a smart he's a smart player. The key Ford role clearly isn't workingout for him, but here's a smart player with a great kick anda good, decent marks I think he can fill as a decent like sortof swing man interceptor down back. And then I've got dare as Mush Houstonrunning through the midfield. Houston has done it before, but could see themboth playing good roles there. Desmas one of the toughest players at our club, so I think he'd be a good ball winner. Yeah, absolutely right. To round off the POD, I'll give mine three ones that have noactual logic that I just want to see hen in the guts. We obviouslyI'll be in calling for it. Seem going to happen, but we obviouslyhave all wanted to see it is. He's giving us a few glimpses,but they are confident that he's just a forward pocket who gets like ten touchesa game whatever. I know he's good at that, but we want tosee him rip and tear. We have thirty in the guts. Want tosee him a govern go forward, probably one of the best readers of bullflight in the game, best hands going round. Really really fit right now, but either is jjk, so he can replace that man's position. Andtook Miller lockdown defender. Probably the fit is black in the cold. It'sgot pace, absolute work course. Tell me he couldn't shut down the tobygreen type put him in the pocket. He's also got like the socks pulledup sort of vibe. GIVES OFF DEFENDER VIBES. Maybe where's black boots?Could be dreaming of that. But yeah, get to can the back line.Then things that actually make logical sense...

...sort of gone similar lines of youboys for the port thing, as enough halfback flankers there. So I reckondbj. Had A bit of a down year this year after the making Australianthe year before. He could go forward. He's pretty fast and all that stuff. And then Jordan Dawson, if that he goes to port. Iwas looking at whose spot they could take, like Steve Mott, lobs like,with the Gretish respect, not reas. Not really needed in the best twentytwo. You've already got Burton, Bonne, HOUSTON leane to play thatspot in the back line. So reckon, Jordan Drson could go forward as well. We've seen him kick goals of the Schwanne's Trent coach and halfback.He's obviously struggling to string two games together and when he plays he's pretty decentstill. But reckon, let him have a bit of a vacation at thehalfback line, just playing distributor bit like Dyson Heppel's done for the bombers.You've got, you know, shy Bolton, Lean Baker, potentially Adam Cherer,who can all go play guts bit more bash whole. He's gone aswell, so there's a bit of a vacancy there. So let the coachgo back there and just be a bit of a quarterback. And then finally, Isaac rankin getting in rotating through the midfield. He was the pick threelike two or three years ago. This season he average twelve touches and onegoal, so he's obviously like not having any impact on the game. Hehad subtouches about seven times, kicked one goal in his last six games andthen got dropped. You also only average three tackles. So being a pressuresmall forward, it kicks goals like statistically he's not really doing it well,so it's obviously got so much skill. So I reckon along with you know, you're very like their goal, their midfield at the moments. All abit one temper, I'd say, with the likes of swallow fear any RAW. So I reckon a bit a x factor through there could be a bitof a game changer. Get the rank and going in there, you cancharge out of the Center Square and, you know, torpedo them through seventyour but that'll do us boys. I reckon we maybe save the Super CoachChat for a feuture episode, because we've got some two more weeks of dribblingto do about AFL. So I reckon we just push them over. willlet row go do something? I know we delayed the start a bit,but yeah, enjoy your all Friday and up boys, and the rest ofyour weekend. I certainly will be enjoying mine, and as much as Ican anyway. And Yeah, looking forward to the grand final episod next week. See Boys,.

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